What will be the result of Monday's Gallup Presidential Poll?

Im not sure about any of you guys but after hearing that speech from Sarah Palin (one of the best speeches I've ever heard in my life) i'm much more inclined to vote for McCain. I think that Obamas rise in points was because of all the hype there was about his vp. And now that McCain has his vp decided i think things are going to go back to a dead heat.

we actually might see mccain ahead this monday.

whether he remains in the statistical tie area or goes beyond is still unknown, but the RNC looks be more than answering the DNC

And yet, Thursday (polls from Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday): Obama +7

Every republican I know who's going to vote McCain is doing so as a vote against Obama, rather than one for McCain...
I'm betting that no matter how good Palin's Speech was, it won't have a big impact on who's voting.

It's sad, I think, that such mendacity goes largely unnoted...
"In the city Ketchikan, the planned site of the so-called "Bridge to Nowhere," political leaders of both parties said the claim was false and a betrayal of their community, because she had supported the bridge and the earmark for it secured by Alaska's Congressional delegation during her run for governor." http://www.reuters.com/article/vcCandidateFeed7/idUSN3125537020080901

I think the same as you guys. Where are all the morons, that vote the other way? I can never figure out where all these dumb morons are? I never see them.. I guess they just go to the polls, and then go back into their caves? Or am I elitist?

bigken>perhaps you're just bitter...y'know, clinging to things and such.

After two very strong days of polling, McCain is +3, his highest since May... Its all going to come down to tonight! A real nail biter :)

@BigKen1
Classic liberal argument: Name calling.
Your profile states your occupation as a Solar Physicist, so I assume you are much smarter than I am. But I am frequently disappointed whenever issues are discarded in favor of simple minded name calling. And in my limited experience, it happens more frequently by the left.
How many times have we heard: "Bush is stupid" ?
(he was educated by Harvard Business School & Yale University . . . )

@DeeLilley, As often as we disagree, I think you have a valid point here.
I wanted to argue with you, but just could not find evidence to create a strong alternate opinion - Touchee
And thank you raising the bar, by quoting a news article as your source.

On the flip side - Obama has been mendacious in the following statement:
"Many of these plans will cost money, which is why I've laid out how I'll pay for every dime -- by closing corporate loopholes and tax havens that don't help America grow."

According to the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, the Democratic proposals would cost the federal budget about $377 billion in 2013. The analysis is based on the Obama campaign's own figures, including the optimistic assertion that he can save $75 billion a year by closing tax loopholes and $55 billion by initiating a phased withdrawal from Iraq.

In fairness, McCain has been guilty of similar misstatements.
Committee President Maya MacGuineas accused both the Obama and McCain campaigns of "wishful budgeting."
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/06/AR2008090602784.html?hpid=topnews

What's new in the wonderful world of Presidential compaigns. . . .

People who are rich and have family connections have a much greater chance of being accepted at Harvard and Yale. Current Mexican President Felipe Calderon, who barely speaks English, has a degree from Harvard Business School. Bill Gates did not complete his degree. You cannot judge a person's intelligence by where they were educated. If Bush's Harvard Business degree had done him any good, he might have been successful in business before he became president. He was not.

I am amazed there are so many people and the media that was bowled over by Palin's speech. It was essentially her brief introduction and then lots of lies and mockery about Obama. Also she seemed to have a tinny voice. However I agree she is easy on the eyes and I guess she benefitted from an initial low expectations. Then when the party faithful discovered she can deliver a sarcastic speech with the right inflections they went ga ga. George W was also a beneficiary of low expectations in 2000.

While the Republican party should be commended for selecting a Female VP candidate, its unfortunate that they selected a woman with such extreme views when there were so many other deserving and more experienced women in the party.

@webwatch

Orating is not always about substance. This is something Obama knows very well.

The truth is Palin is a double counterpunch to the Obama campaign. She has rockstar ability and she's a she. The funny thing is that her weakness is the same weakness that the McCain campaign has been tearing Obama up about. Inexperience and the such.

So now we have one nominee with next to no experience (fact - NOT attack) and one nominee with tons of it (fact - NOT endorsement). Yet their running mates are polar opposites and also lesser forms of the other parties talking points.

Biden is old and been in washington forever. He's an old white dude.

Palin is young and somewhat inexperienced. She's got rookie status.

The tickets are the same now! The only difference is the actual talking points, which I will not get into because I do not wish to ignite a flame war.

@chatarra, thanks :) did you see this one? http://tinyurl.com/5a88s3

I don't think the budget will be balanced anytime soon, whoever is elected...I do like Obama on many levels, but his main attraction for me (and millions, maybe) is that he simply isn't Bush/McCain. They messed up bad is a wild understatement.

I agree with you about the campaigns...where's Hunter Thompson when you need him?
That was rhetorical :) I might be offline for 2 weeks...camping, definitely not campaigning.

@robamichael

"The tickets are the same now!" HARDLY...

We've heard for years that the Vice President is only a heartbeat away from the presidency...And for the first time we must seriously consider the possibility that the Vice President will indeed become president. There are more possibilities in this election than ever before:

While everyone will disagree a bit, there are probably good reasons to vote for either presidential candidate. When it comes to the possibility of the Vice President becoming President, can we really afford "Mrs. Smith goes to Washington?"

It made a great movie, but now we are dealing with real life...

@RobAMichael
I agree with your assessment. A big part of Obama's appeal was the contrast in his ability to deliver a speech vs Bush, who has never been a good public speaker. Obama was smart to add a Washington insider to his ticket, since lack of experience is his most obvious weakness. FWIW: He would be a lock to win, if he had chosen HRC instead, but I suspect there were some unresolved issues from their earlier campaign. His polling numbers have seen their greatest peak already, because his oration skills alone will not sustain him into the election. American people want to see substance too, and they want to see how Obama's proposed changes will affect them personally.

Sarah Palin has the same issue now. She came on like gangbusters with a solid speech, which over-reached most people's expectations. She now has to show substance and that her taking points are not simply theatrical makeup. Per DeeLilley's link above, (and really - not surprisingly) Sarah Palin is being groomed to appear in front of reporters who will want to know how her policy beliefs will affect the nation. All politicians at this level have handlers to assist with a positive image. Politicians, running for election, are the closest thing to a Pied Piper today - trying to lead the masses to a new destination.

McCain leads by 3,4, or 5 points it's the end result and it's been announced by major news sites. idk why this question hasn't been suspended already...

@lourencoa
If you provide a link to the news source, the market will get settled more efficiently.

@lourenoca - They're discussing yesterday's Gallup poll where McCain was up by 3. Today's poll won't be released until about 1pm EDT.

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aHBx.Y8FBBoc&refer=home

Ok, I'm a little confused. I'm not sure the USA Today/Gallup poll being quoted is the same as the Gallup Daily poll that will come out later this afternoon but just in case I've suspended the market. We'll see what happens at 1 and will backvoid bets if we need to.

@jenni the 3 points is on the 7th of september and not monday the 8th

September 7, 2008
Gallup Daily: McCain Moves Ahead, 48% to 45%

@curios - If you check rpfreely's news article it quotes an USA Today/Gallup poll released this morning that lists McCain as +4 and is based on polling from Fri, Sat and Sun. Like I said, I don't think its the same as the Gallup Daily released this afternoon, but I'm not sure. Only two more hours and we'll know.

from what i read clicking on jenni's settlement link mccain is up 5.

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Gallup Daily
Gallup Daily: McCain’s Bounce Gives Him 5-Point Lead
Leads Obama 49%-44% in first results conducted fully after GOP convention
September 8, 2008
John McCain’s support among registered voters increased six percentage points from immediately before the GOP convention to immediately after. That convention bounce leaves him with a five-point lead over Barack Obama in the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update, 49% to 44%."

Straight from the settlement link. +5

http://www.gallup.com/tag/Gallup%2bDaily.aspx

@roba - That is the correct settlement.. Now, hit "Request Settlement" and include your settlement link. The market should be settled shortly thereafter!

@all the sarah palin haters out there,
Sarah Palin is not "inexperienced". In fact, she has more experience then Biden and Obama combined! She actually knows how the people think because she started out leading a city then moving up in the ranks, learning how the goverment works from the inside. Obama on the other hand is a rich lawyer with very very very very very very very little experience. He doesn't know what the people want or how the government works. Shes actually led before. She knows how to deal with pressure and how to deal with tense situations. Obama hasn't and doesn't. Comparing her to Obama is a insult to her! I don't see where you are coming from when you say she is the "Polar opposite of McCain".

@dragon - I wouldn't consider myself a Palin hater, but I do think you are being too restrictive on what "experience" means. Yes, she has been both a Mayor and a Governor. Those are both good things, and she brings that unique experience to the election. But is that the only experience that matters? Do Biden and McCain's combined 50 years in the Senate not provide them with unique experience connecting with their constituents and working with Senators from 49 other states to accomplish important legislation? Does Obama and Biden's experience as law professors not provide them with important insight? Don't Obama's years as a Community organizer help him understand working class situations? Do McCains years as a soldier and POW not help him be a better Commander and Chief?

My point is there are 4 candidates on the stage now and each of them bring unique and important qualifications. I think its short-sighted to neglect all the experience the others bring just because Sarah has executive experience in Alaska (the state least likely to translate to the politics of the lower 48). Lets appreciate the diverse life experiences all 4 of the candidates have to offer and start disagreeing about their policies instead.