Created Tue 2nd Sep 7:51am PDT by
owlcreekobserver
All questions » Entertainment » Celebrities » 
Will the Ellen Degeneres - Portia De Rossi marriage be terminated by 8/15/2009?
Current forecast: 40% chance

Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 40% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
Degeneres, 50, and De Rossi, 35, married in Beverly Hills on August 16, 2008.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source. Death, divorce or a change in California law to disallow gay marriages performed over the summer will be considered as a "yes" result to this question.
Make your prediction!
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Yes |
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Activity: H$19,296
Question suspends in 36 weeks
Suspend date: Sun 16th Aug 2009 12:59am PDT (36 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
Created Tue 2nd Sep 7:51am PDT by
owlcreekobserver
Settlement requested Thu 6th Nov 11:31pm PST by
Erik: Under settlement details it is stated, “Death, divorce or a change in California law to disallow gay marriages will be considered as a "yes" result to this question.”
This market: http://www.hubdub.com/m7777/Will_California_pass_Proposition_8_this_November_banning_gay_marriage
settled as “Yes.”
Therefore this market should settle as “Yes” as well.
This market: http://www.hubdub.com/m7777/Will_California_pass_Proposition_8_this_November_banning_gay_marriage
settled as “Yes.”
Therefore this market should settle as “Yes” as well.
Suspended Sat 8th Nov 9:04am PST by
onedave
: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Sat 8th Nov 9:04am PST by
onedave
: Please settle as 'yes.' California has banned same-sex marriages. According to settlement details, this market settles as 'yes.'
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-gaymarriage5-2008nov05,0,1545381.story (market suspended)
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-gaymarriage5-2008nov05,0,1545381.story (market suspended)
Changed Settlement info Sat 8th Nov 6:39pm PST by
jenniandboys
: show details
... law to disallow gay marriages performed over the summer will be considered as a
Unsuspended Sat 8th Nov 6:40pm PST by
jenniandboys
: Although Proposition 8 has passed, it remains unclear what effect that will have on marriages performed over the summer. This market will remain open until the fate of those marriages (and Ellens in particular) has been determined.
Suspend date: Sun 16th Aug 2009 12:59am PDT (36 weeks to go)
more info...
Predictions (39)
39 predictions
Comments (5)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
News24.com 3 weeks ago
Los Angeles - Thousands of gay rights supporters took to the streets of Hollywood late on Wednesday outraged that California had voted to ban same-sex marriages. The historic presidential win of Barack Obama, who promises to
score: 10
News24.com 3 weeks ago
Los Angeles - Thousands of protesters are angry about California's ban on gay marriage - and so are the stars. Many celebrities grieved the passing of Proposition 8 in California this week. Some - such as Wanda Sykes, Rose McGowen and Lance Bass
score: 10
ABC News 3 weeks ago
Thousands of protesters are angry about California's ban on gay marriage and so are the stars. Many celebrities grieved the passing of Proposition 8 in California this week. Some such as Wanda Sykes, Rose McGowen and Lance Bass attended a
score: 10
Sky News 3 weeks ago
on the very next day, we took a giant step away. 'I believe one day a 'ban on gay marriage' will sound totally ridiculous. In the meantime, I will continue to speak out for equality for all of us.' Hollywood stars including Brad Pitt and director Steven
score: 10
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100% of previous questions settled successfully
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4 settled, 0 voided




Well guess what, there was indeed a change in California law.
But jenni has now inserted “...to disallow gay marriages performed over the summer.”
Once again Hubdub and jenni in particular has taken it upon themselves to change the rules in midstream.
“The political turmoil and legal confusion over the issue has deepened after Californian voters approved a constitutional amendment disallowing gay marriage.” Belfast Telegraph, Friday, 7 November 2008
“Death, divorce or a change in California law to disallow gay marriages will be considered as a "yes" result to this question.”
Your editing changed this market.
If you wished for the market to be different you should have created a new market. Not changed this one.
How unbelievably pompous of you.
http://www.latimes.com/news/local/la-me-protest10-2008nov10,0,4939340.story
http://www.latimes.com/news/opinion/la-oe-liu10-2008nov10,0,3403185.story
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