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Will Alabama's "fat tax" be overturned prior to it's start date of 2010?

Current forecast: 75% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 75% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Alabama Plans to Tax Fat Employees to Recoup Insurance Costs
Tuesday, September 02, 2008

By Jana Winter

Being fat has long been blamed for conditions like diabetes, which can lead to heart, kidney and nerve diseases.
Alabama is rolling out a creative but controversial program that will subject its 37,527 state employees to possibly humiliating at-work weigh-ins and fat tests. If they tip the scales, they'll be given a choice: slim down or pay up.

The state is trying to solve two of its biggest problems — health insurance costs and obesity — in one fell swoop.

Beginning in 2010, Alabama, which has the second highest obesity rate in the country, will start charging all of its employees an extra $25 per month for health insurance. (Currently, single workers pay nothing; family plans cost $180 a month.)

But there's a way to avoid the fee: Get a check-up at an in-office "wellness center," where nurses will check for diabetes and hypertension and measure blood pressure, cholesterol, glucose levels and Body Mass Index (BMI).

The idea is to encourage employees to act responsibly, lose weight and lower their health care needs. But critics say it will humiliate and stigmatize obese employees and amounts to nothing short of a "fat tax."

A BMI test uses height and weigh measurements to calculate the percentage of body fat in adult males and females. Alabama is using a BMI threshold of 35 — 30 is considered obese, by most medical standards — to determine who doesn't have to pay the automatic $25 deduction.

Health practitioners often factor in skinfold (fat) and waist circumference measurements while calculating a patient's BMI.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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Yes
75%
No
25%
Activity: H$700
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Tue 2nd Sep 8:13am PDT by jhouseholder

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
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Predictions (3)

3 predictions

12 weeks ago
dragonfangxl predicted No (H$250 at 25%)
12 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted Yes (H$50 at 75%)

Comments (3)

That seems a little harsh. If the weighings and results are private, it will probably go more smoothly albeit less effective
posted 12 weeks ago
Whoa! If this is supposed to eliminate or reduce weight issues, let them tax poverty first... it is a much bigger problem, if we are to believe the "compassionates"!
posted 5 weeks ago
This was discussed in the UK in 2005 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBPZq5wu0JY they say they can't trust people to make good decisions so the government needs to step in.
The government health angle makes it an even more pressing debate: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBPZq5wu0JY
posted 5 weeks ago

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