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GOLF 2008: How many golfers will finish 8 under par or lower at the BMW Championship this weekend?

Settled as 12 - 13

12 players were -8 or lower.
Winning bracket is 12 - 13.
Source:
http://www.pgatour.com/r/leaderboard/

Background:

The BMW Championship is being held Sept. 4th through Sept. 7th at Bellerive Country Club in St. Louis, MO. 72 holes will be played on this 7,456 yard par 71 course. Par for four rounds is 284. Tiger shot a record 262 in 2007. That was 22 under par. How many in the starting field of 69 golfers will finish at 8 under par or lower? I chose -8 as the metric because par in the previous tournaments was too easy to achieve.
Here are two links to help you decide:
2007 results: Par was 284 for 4 rounds. 17 shot -8 or lower.
http://www.pgatour.com/tournaments/r028/results.html
www.pgatour.com


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

24 or More are -8 or Less
1%
22 - 23
3%
20 - 21
6%
18 - 19
9%
16 - 17
13%
14 - 15
13%
12 - 13
18%
10 - 11
19%
8 - 9
11%
7 or Fewer are -8 or Less
7%
Activity: H$6,152
Settled as 12 - 13 on Mon 8th Sep 10:16am PDT

Suspend date: Sun 7th Sep 7am PDT Settlement date: Mon 8th Sep 10:16am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 7th Sep 7am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 24 or More are -8 or Less: 2%, 22 - 23: 5%, 20 - 21: 10%, 18 - 19: 15%, 16 - 17: 19%, 14 - 15: 17%, 12 - 13: 15%, 10 - 11: 10%, 8 - 9: 5%, 7 or Fewer are -8 or Less: 2%

Action history:

Created Tue 2nd Sep 5:15pm PDT by buckeyetom
Suspended Sun 7th Sep 7am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 8th Sep 8:24am PDT by buckeyetom: 12 players were -8 or lower.
Winning bracket is 12 - 13.
Source:
http://www.pgatour.com/r/leaderboard/
Settled as '12 - 13' Mon 8th Sep 10:16am PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: 12 players were -8 or lower.
Winning bracket is 12 - 13.
Source:
http://www.pgatour.com/r/leaderboard/

Suspend date: Sun 7th Sep 7am PDT Settlement date: Mon 8th Sep 10:16am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 7th Sep 7am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (56)

56 predictions

12 weeks ago
pitchedoutsideleg predicted 24 or More are -8 or Less (H$500 at 5%)

Comments (1)

Finally, these guys seem to be playing on a course that they cannot totally dominate. Only half of them are under par for a change.
posted 12 weeks ago

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