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IndyCar: Who will win in Chicagoland Speedway, Sept 7?

Settled as Helio Castroneves (1)

Castroneves wins.

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jvymLnwl3q5e0RjvTd33H4A3sSdgD9326NH80

Background:

This is the season decider. There is one more race, in Surfers Paradise, Australia on Oct. 26, but without points allowed.
Scott Dixon leads 30 points ahead of Helio Castroneves and needs an 8th or higher finnish to secure his title. This means that perhaps he will drive very carefully and wouldn't take any risks which may decrease his chances for the overall win. Castroneves needs desperately a win in his chase of the title, and many more drivers are also ready to distinguish themselfs.
In the brackets - the number of the wins so far this season.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Scott Dixon (6)
31%
Helio Castroneves (1)
18%
Tony Kanaan (1)
10%
Dan Wheldon (2)
6%
Ryan Briscoe (2)
9%
Danica Patrick (1)
5%
Ryan Hunter-Reay (1)
4%
Will Power (1)
4%
Graham Rahal (1)
4%
Other
10%
Activity: H$4,231
Settled as Helio Castroneves (1) on Sun 7th Sep 7:54pm PDT

Suspend date: Sun 7th Sep 12:30pm PDT Settlement date: Sun 7th Sep 7:54pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 7th Sep 12:30pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Scott Dixon (6): 5%, Helio Castroneves (1): 20%, Tony Kanaan (1): 9%, Dan Wheldon (2): 9%, Ryan Briscoe (2): 9%, Danica Patrick (1): 8%, Ryan Hunter-Reay (1): 8%, Will Power (1): 8%, Graham Rahal (1): 8%, Other: 16%

Action history:

Created Wed 3rd Sep 3:41am PDT by orlin
Suspended Sun 7th Sep 12:30pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sun 7th Sep 7:47pm PDT by jake: Castroneves wins.

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jvymLnwl3q5e0RjvTd33H4A3sSdgD9326NH80
Settled as 'Helio Castroneves (1)' Sun 7th Sep 7:54pm PDT by mrperfkt[Admin]: Castroneves wins.

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jvymLnwl3q5e0RjvTd33H4A3sSdgD9326NH80

Suspend date: Sun 7th Sep 12:30pm PDT Settlement date: Sun 7th Sep 7:54pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 7th Sep 12:30pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (18)

18 predictions

12 weeks ago
steez predicted Scott Dixon (6) (H$100 at 35%)
12 weeks ago
swilson predicted Scott Dixon (6) (H$100 at 33%)
12 weeks ago
steez predicted Scott Dixon (6) (H$100 at 23%)
12 weeks ago
steez predicted Helio Castroneves (1) (H$100 at 21%)
12 weeks ago
chull predicted Helio Castroneves (1) (H$50 at 20%)
more

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