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How will Americans rate McCain's acceptance speech?

Settled as 40 to less than 50%

40-50%
(47% = 15% Excellent + 32% Good)

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110107/Republicans-Enthusiasm-Jumps-After-Convention.aspx

Background:

Gallup reported that 58% of Americans gave Obama's acceptance speech last week a favorable review with 35% of them actually saying it was excellent. See: http://www.gallup.com/poll/109948/Obama-Acceptance-Speech-Gets-High-Marks-From-Public.aspx

McCain's strength has never been scripted speeches, however. What will be his favorability rating?


Settlement details: As reported by Gallup.. probably released on Sunday.
Example Obama: http://www.gallup.com/poll/109948/Obama-Acceptance-Speech-Gets-High-Marks-From-Public.aspx

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Less than 30%
0%
30 to less than 40%
5%
40 to less than 50%
25%
50 to less than 60%
59%
60% or more
11%
Activity: H$30,170
Settled as 40 to less than 50% on Mon 8th Sep 9:30pm PDT

Suspend date: Fri 5th Sep 7:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 8th Sep 9:30pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 5th Sep 7:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Less than 30%: 10%, 30 to less than 40%: 25%, 40 to less than 50%: 30%, 50 to less than 60%: 25%, 60% or more: 10%

Action history:

Created Wed 3rd Sep 10:48am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]
Suspended Fri 5th Sep 7:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 8th Sep 1:51pm PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: 40-50%
(47% = 15% Excellent + 32% Good)

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110107/Republicans-Enthusiasm-Jumps-After-Convention.aspx
Settled as '40 to less than 50%' Mon 8th Sep 9:30pm PDT by destry[Admin]: 40-50%
(47% = 15% Excellent + 32% Good)

http://www.gallup.com/poll/110107/Republicans-Enthusiasm-Jumps-After-Convention.aspx

Suspend date: Fri 5th Sep 7:59am PDT Settlement date: Mon 8th Sep 9:30pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 5th Sep 7:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (90)

90 predictions

12 weeks ago
azman1986 predicted 40 to less than 50% (H$24 at 25%)
12 weeks ago
jackpot11 predicted 50 to less than 60% (H$100 at 59%)
12 weeks ago
lourencoa predicted 30 to less than 40% (H$20 at 5%)
12 weeks ago
steez predicted 50 to less than 60% (H$184 at 59%)
12 weeks ago
klausmitte2 predicted 40 to less than 50% (H$33 at 25%)
more

Comments (5)

Wait is this what percentage of Americans will rate his speech or what percentage of Americans who do rate will think it was Excellent?
posted 12 weeks ago
What percent of Americans will say its favorable (according to Gallup polling). Check out the linked Obama article as an example.
posted 12 weeks ago
  3 azman1986
"Good" + "Excellent" = 47%
posted 12 weeks ago
http://www.gallup.com/poll/110107/Republicans-Enthusiasm-Jumps-After-Convention.asp

This gives some info near the middle. I'm not sure how you want to count their percentages, but it looks like they break it down into 5 categories. If the first two are combined then it looks like 40 range and first three combines puts it very high.... too high.
posted 12 weeks ago
  5 azman1986
Obama's was figured by adding the good+excellent responses, which McCain's should also.
posted 12 weeks ago

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