kearnsdm 
RNC: Will Sarah Palin's speech draw more TV viewers than John McCain's?
McCain pulled in more viewers
Background:
Settlement details:
As reported by Nielsen Media Research.
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 8:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 6th Sep 10:23am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Sep 8:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
kearnsdm azman1986: Many respected pundits (like CNN, FOX News Channel, and MSNBC) seem to consider the respective speeches to have been about equal (37-38m). Wondering if you have a mechanism for a tie? Thanks. tarpash: McCain's speech draws more viewers:
http://www.reuters.com/article/wtMostRead/idUSN0439266820080905?pageNumber=2&virtualBrandChannel=0
McCain's speech drew 38.9 million viewers.
Palin's speech (page 2 of article) got 37.2 million viewers.
john1: The ratings should be in by now 
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: McCain pulled in more viewers
Suspend date: Thu 4th Sep 8:59am PDT Settlement date: Sat 6th Sep 10:23am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 4th Sep 8:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
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That still presumes the RNC can manage it's prime time schedule... as the NFL isn't gonna wait beyond what they already agreed to (according to published reports).
I don't disagree with any of the above comments -- and, at the end of the day, I made my prediction on "no".
I think this was an excellent question!
"At NBC's request, the NFL agreed earlier this year to move tonight's season opener from 8:30 p.m. to 7 p.m. because of the potential convention overlap, said Greg Aiello, a spokesman for the league.
"Aiello said the average game last season lasted 3 hours and 3 minutes, a duration that would leave give McCain plenty of time to speak in prime time.
"McCain spokeswoman Jill Hazelbaker said yesterday the prospect of an extra-long game has caused some concern: "I had talked on background with a Republican convention planner a couple of weeks ago who said, 'Don't mention overtime. Overtime is our rain-in-Denver scenario.' "
"NBC is contractually obligated to carry the NFL game until its conclusion. It plans to switch immediately to the convention once the game is over."
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/03/AR2008090303255.html?hpid=topnews>
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