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Will any charges against EBay hot bra fence, George Tutaya, hold up?

Current forecast: 68% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 68% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Over 2000 stolen Victoria's Secret bras ended up being sold by Mr Tutaya on EBay under a variety of seller names through assorted PayPal accounts, say Queens NY prosecutors.

Mr. Tutaya must be sentenced to jail time for his lingerie-larceny bust for the market to settle as yes

Here's a pair (naturally) of background supporting articles: left and right.

They've indicted him on 18 charges of criminal possession of stolen property, and he will be back in court Nov. 18. The hot undergarments were worth around $80,000. He faces up to 7 years in prison - now that's a handful!

So will Mr. Tutaya be sentenced to any jail time for his lingerie-larceny bust? (Or will he perhaps be able to sing: "Ob-la-di, ob-la-da, life goes on bra, la-la how the life goes on"?)


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Note the suspend date is just an estimate. This settles when he is sentenced (or charges are dropped). Mr. Tutaya must be sentenced to jail time for his lingerie-larceny bust for the market to settle as yes

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
68%
No
32%
Activity: H$7,699
Question suspends in 2 weeks

Suspend date: Thu 18th Dec 8:59pm PST (2 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Thu 4th Sep 12:46am PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]
Clarified Thu 4th Sep 1:51pm PDT by ryanj[Admin]: To ensure that the market is clear I've added "any" to the question and specified that Tutaya must serve time (be sentenced to) for the market to settle as yes.

Suspend date: Thu 18th Dec 8:59pm PST (2 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (20)

20 predictions

3 weeks ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted No (H$1,000 at 30%)
3 weeks ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted No (H$1,000 at 27%)
4 weeks ago
jamest predicted Yes (H$500 at 75%)
7 weeks ago
nadine_dr_computer predicted Yes (H$10 at 75%)
12 weeks ago
biloxibeachboy predicted Yes (H$20 at 76%)
more

Comments (4)

A very uplifting question
posted 12 weeks ago
lol
posted 12 weeks ago
  3 mork[Power User]
That guys going down.
posted 12 weeks ago
Give it your breast guess.
posted 12 weeks ago

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