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Will Jacob Zuma be sworn in as President of South Africa by 30 June 2009?

Current forecast: 58% chance 8%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 58% likely to happen (down 8% in last 1 day)

Corruption charges; in-fighting within the ANC. Is it a given that the sitting president of the ANC will automatically take on the presidency of the country after a general election?


Settlement details: Settled as yes if he has been sworn in as President by the Chief Justice on or before 30 June 2009.

 
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Yes
58%
No
42%
Activity: H$13,985
Question suspends in 29 weeks

Suspend date: Tue 30th Jun 2009 2:59pm PDT (29 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%

Action history:

Created Thu 4th Sep 2:30am PDT by tomtom

Suspend date: Tue 30th Jun 2009 2:59pm PDT (29 weeks to go)
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Predictions (18)

18 predictions

4 weeks ago
kashifkhan predicted Yes (H$50 at 62%)
7 weeks ago
abrrao001 predicted No (H$20 at 34%)
8 weeks ago
effectcompton predicted No (H$100 at 33%)
8 weeks ago
shojun predicted Yes (H$1,000 at 66%)
9 weeks ago
p0tramp predicted Yes (H$50 at 65%)
more

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