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Will Hillary Clinton be the first woman President of the United States of America?

Current forecast: 17% chance 13%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 17% likely to happen (down 13% in last 1 day)

She's out of the running for 2008, but Senator Clinton is young and ambitious enough to take a shot again in 2012 and/or 2016. However, if Sarah Palin is elected VP this year and President McCain dies in office, Palin would be the first. And if Clinton runs again, she may not be the only female candidate in the race again.


Settlement details: Sworn into the office of the President of the United States before any other woman.

 
Forecast history, %
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Yes
17%
No
83%
Activity: H$33,077
Question suspends in 8 years

Suspend date: Wed 1st Feb 2017 3:59pm PST (8 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%

Action history:

Created Thu 4th Sep 9:55am PDT by john1

Suspend date: Wed 1st Feb 2017 3:59pm PST (8 years to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (18)

18 predictions

1 week ago
the_1_an_only_b predicted No (H$100 at 83%)
3 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted No (H$10,000 at 78%)
12 weeks ago
widescreen predicted No (H$100 at 70%)
12 weeks ago
divakaleigh predicted Yes (H$50 at 30%)
12 weeks ago
monkey_man_444 predicted No (H$100 at 70%)
more

Comments (6)

Hilliary Clinton, 2012, coming at you
posted 12 weeks ago
If that happens im moving to canada
posted 12 weeks ago
  3 john1
I'm thinking Obama's success makes this less likely.
posted 4 weeks ago
  4 john1
2012's out for Hillary; think she'll do it in 2016? I'm surprised this one isn't moving more
posted 3 weeks ago
@john1 - you are correct, it's a great buy, but kind of a long wait.
posted 3 weeks ago
2012 is out? Why?
posted 3 weeks ago

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