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If John McCain / Sarah Palin are elected will Osama Bin Laden be captured by Jan 20,2010?

Voided

Market Voided.

Background:

ST. PAUL (Reuters) - Republican candidate John McCain said on Wednesday that if elected president, he will capture al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden.

"President Clinton had opportunities to get Osama bin Laden. President Bush had opportunities to get Osama bin Laden. I know how to do it and I'll do it," he told ABC's "World News" in an interview.

An early backer of the Iraq war, the Arizona senator has assailed Obama's judgment in opposing the war. He was asked to respond to Obama's accusation last week that McCain's focus on the Iraq war rather than pursuing al Qaeda had allowed bin Laden to escape in Afghanistan.

Al Qaeda is blamed for the September 11, 2001, attacks on the United States which killed almost 3,000 people in New York, Washington and Pennsylvania.

Category Editor Notation
If McCain is not elected President then market will be voided....


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. If McCain is not elected President then market will be voided.

 
Forecast history, %
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Voided

Yes
36%
No
64%
Voided Tue 4th Nov 11:47pm PST

Suspend date: Tue 19th Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 35%, No: 65%

Action history:

Created Thu 4th Sep 10:22am PDT by destry[Admin]
Voided Tue 4th Nov 11:47pm PST by destry[Admin]: Market Voided.

Suspend date: Tue 19th Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (77)

77 predictions

8 weeks ago
alphager predicted No (H$100 at 76%)
8 weeks ago
mlynnc predicted No (H$50 at 76%)
8 weeks ago
atrane predicted No (H$50 at 76%)
8 weeks ago
dan551x predicted No (H$50 at 76%)
8 weeks ago
oxbow predicted No (H$100 at 75%)
more

Comments (5)

  1 curios
if not elected it will have to be settled as no?
posted 12 weeks ago
  2 destry[Admin]
In the settlement details I typed in the current policy on hubdub questions that are IF/Then markets. In the event McCain is not elected then market is voided.
posted 12 weeks ago
Quote of the day:

"She [Sarah] was put on this earth to do two things: kill caribou and kick butt. She's all out of caribou."

Look out OBL!
posted 12 weeks ago
If Osama Bin Laden is killed or confirmed already dead, would this settle as a "yes" or "no"?
posted 12 weeks ago
I guess the question would be voided if that happened. and that is not as minor a possibility as you might think. After all if he was dead everyone around him would be trying as hard as hell to disguise that fact.
posted 12 weeks ago

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