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"Sarko-babe" pregnant. Who is the father?

Current forecast: Not published by date of birth (62% chance1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Not published by date of birth with a probability of 62% (down 1% in last 1 day)

A glamorous French politician rumoured to have had an affair with president Nicolas Sarkozy is pregnant with a mystery lovechild.

Justice minister Rachida Dati, dubbed a 'Sarko-babe', admitted yesterday she had a 'complicated private life' but refused to name the father.

The 42-year-old said: 'I will not say anything more.'

Who will be reported to be the father of her child?

Click here
for the link to the story.

Category editor Clarification: To settle as one of the two first options, either Ms Dati or the father must acknowledge who the father is (or there must be some kind of "official" paternity test results). This question will not settle on mere speculation by the media.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Sarkozy
8%
Not Sarkozy
30%
Not published by date of birth
62%
Activity: H$15,800
Question suspends in 26 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 5th Jun 2009 12:59am PDT (26 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Sarkozy: 10%, Not Sarkozy: 60%, Not published by date of birth: 30%

Action history:

Created Thu 4th Sep 1:46pm PDT by kruijs[Power User]
Suspended Thu 4th Sep 9:46pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: Question awaiting clarification of grounds for settlement.
Unsuspended Thu 4th Sep 10:28pm PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: Question re-opened. Note the stricter terms for how this would settle.

Suspend date: Fri 5th Jun 2009 12:59am PDT (26 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (109)

109 predictions

1 week ago
bluemail predicted Sarkozy (H$50 at 8%)
1 week ago
emilypayne predicted Not Sarkozy (H$50 at 28%)
1 week ago
martincansdale predicted Not published by date of birth (H$100 at 65%)
1 week ago
momma_hall predicted Not published by date of birth (H$20 at 64%)
2 weeks ago
storekeeperathscm predicted Not published by date of birth (H$10 at 65%)
more

Comments (2)

Even if it is Sarkozys kid, i bet he asks her to name someone else, to buy time and get the attention off him.
posted 12 weeks ago
"Question re-opened. Note the stricter terms for how this would settle."

See Category editor Clarification above (in Background) for what is required for this question to determine who the father is.
posted 12 weeks ago

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