Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

Will Hillary Clinton be the second woman President of the United States of America?

Current forecast: 7% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 7% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Senator Clinton did not succeed in her effort to become the first woman president of the U.S. in 2008. There is much speculation she may run again--but by then, another woman might beat her to the Oval Office. Possible scenarios: McCain/Palin win in 2008 and Palin becomes president upon the death of McCain, followed by the election of Clinton in 2012 or 2016. Or a woman other than Clinton is elected in 2012 and Clinton is elected in 2016.


Settlement details: Market will settle as a NO if she is sworn in as the first female president. Will settle as a NO if two other women are sworn in before her. Will only settle as YES if she is the second woman sworn in as President.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

Yes
7%
No
93%
Activity: H$5,191
Question suspends in 8 years

Suspend date: Wed 1st Feb 2017 11:59pm PST (8 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 7%

Action history:

Created Thu 4th Sep 6:06pm PDT by john1
Suspended Thu 4th Sep 7:12pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Market temporarily settlement until clarification can be acquired from question creator.
Unsuspended Thu 4th Sep 7:35pm PDT by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Wed 1st Feb 2017 11:59pm PST (8 years to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (5)

5 predictions

12 weeks ago
alanhongk predicted No (H$100 at 93%)
12 weeks ago
jimsanchez predicted No (H$50 at 94%)
12 weeks ago
bearguy predicted No (H$20 at 94%)
12 weeks ago
onedave[Power User] predicted No (H$20 at 94%)

Comments (1)

  1 randburg
Come back in eight years...It should be interesting!
posted 12 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more