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Will Hillary Clinton be the second woman President of the United States of America?

Background: Senator Clinton did not succeed in her effort to become the first woman president of the U.S. in 2008. There is much speculation she may run again--but by then, another woman might beat her to the Oval Office. Possible scenarios: McCain/Palin win in 2008 and Palin becomes president upon the death of McCain, followed by the election of Clinton in 2012 or 2016. Or a woman other than Clinton is elected in 2012 and Clinton is elected in 2016.

Settlement details:Market will settle as a NO if she is sworn in as the first female president. Will settle as a NO if two other women are sworn in before her. Will only settle as YES if she is the second woman sworn in as President.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
3%
No
97%
Question suspends in 7 years

Suspend date: Wed 1st Feb 2017 11:59pm PST (7 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 7%

Action history:

Created Thu 4th Sep 2008 5:06pm PST by john1
Suspended Thu 4th Sep 2008 6:12pm PST by destry[Admin]: Market temporarily settlement until clarification can be acquired from question creator.
Unsuspended Thu 4th Sep 2008 6:35pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Wed 1st Feb 2017 11:59pm PST (7 years to go) details

 

Predictions (7)

26 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted No (H$10,000 at 97%)
26 weeks ago
jenniandboys[Admin] predicted No (H$10,000 at 95%)
1 year ago
alanhongk predicted No (H$100 at 93%)
1 year ago
jimsanchez predicted No (H$50 at 94%)
1 year ago
bearguy predicted No (H$20 at 94%)

Comments (1)

  1 randburg
Come back in eight years...It should be interesting!
posted 1 year ago

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