kearnsdm 
US PRES: Will Obama win all the states Kerry won in 2004?
New Hampshire particularly has looked dicey in the polls, and it's the state that gave McCain his start. Pennsylvania too has hovered on the brink. On the other hand, many pundits say this is Obama's election to lose, and if he wins, he may take all Kerry's states and many more besides.
Settlement details:
As determined by the results from the electoral college, given in a major newspaper. The Kerry states were California, Oregon, Washington, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, Illinois, Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Delaware, Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Hawaii. (The District of Columbia and the U.S. territories are not states and therefore do not count for this question.)
Settled
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Yes |
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No |
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Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59am PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 7:48pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%
Action history:
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Suspend date: Tue 4th Nov 2:59am PST Settlement date: Wed 5th Nov 7:48pm PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 4th Nov 2:59am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (87)
87 predictions
1derkind
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predicted No (H$250 at 20%)
infernalmachineComments (1)
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