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Will Canadian Green Party leader Elizabeth May be invited to the televised leaders debates?

Settled as Yes

Yes. She was invited to join the debate on Sept 10. First report 3:13pm EDT
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080910.welxnlede0910/BNStory/Front

Background:

Background: The Green Party regularly gets 5-8% of the national vote in Canadian federal elections. The Green Party has recently acquired their first MP by having an independent join their party. Will the televised leaders debates for the upcoming 2008 Federal election include the leader of the Green Party for the first time ever?

Some background information

Category editor Clarification: The question can settle as Yes if she is invited to any of these debates. (All is not required.) Suspend date will be moved forward when a schedule of debates is known, to the beginning of the last debate. If the networks do not invite her in the first week, the question remains open as she has made clear her intention to take this to court. If they do, this will settle as Yes at that time.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
25%
No
75%
Settled as Yes on Wed 10th Sep 2008 8:57pm PST

Suspend date: Thu 2nd Oct 2008 2pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 10th Sep 2008 8:57pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 10th Sep 2008 11:10am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 40%

Action history:

Created Thu 4th Sep 2008 10:48pm PST by ratel
Suspended Mon 8th Sep 2008 4:08pm PST by mork[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Mon 8th Sep 2008 4:08pm PST by mork[Power User]: http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/story/2008/09/08/greens-debates.html (market suspended)
Unsuspended Mon 8th Sep 2008 4:54pm PST by infernalmachine[Power User]: Per the clarification, this won't settle as no until it is absolutely certain she will not appear in any debates.
Suspended Wed 10th Sep 2008 1:45pm PST by infernalmachine[Power User]: Flagged by admin: Suspended pending settlement
Settled as 'Yes' Wed 10th Sep 2008 8:57pm PST by infernalmachine[Power User]: Yes. She was invited to join the debate on Sept 10. First report 3:13pm EDT
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/RTGAM.20080910.welxnlede0910/BNStory/Front

Suspend date: Thu 2nd Oct 2008 2pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 10th Sep 2008 8:57pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 10th Sep 2008 11:10am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (28)

1 year ago
canadianveggie predicted Yes (H$10,000 at 63%)
1 year ago
canadianveggie predicted Yes (H$9,000 at 39%)
1 year ago
canadianveggie predicted Yes (H$500 at 26%)
1 year ago
bout3fitty predicted No (H$300 at 75%)
1 year ago
concorddawn predicted No (H$100 at 67%)

Comments (1)

Update: http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/story/2008/09/08/greens-debates.html

The question now is whether she will take it to court, as she has previously threatened, and what the outcome of that would be.
posted 1 year ago

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