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Created Fri 5th Sep 9:26am PDT by rpfreely
All questions » World » Americas » 

How many seats will the Green Party of Canada win in the 2008 Federal Election?

Settled as 0 seats

6.8% pop. vote but no seats won
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/federal-election-2008

Background:

It is anticipated that the a General Election will be held October 14, 2008. The Green Party of Canada did not elect any MPs last time around, but at dissolution (presuming it happens) they have 1, with some seeing chances for their leader, Elizabeth May, and others, at taking their seats as well.

How well will they do? Even odds to start.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 0 seats
44%
1 seats
26%
2 seats
18%
3 or more seats
11%
Activity: H$24,988
Settled as 0 seats on Wed 15th Oct 9:50am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 14th Oct 3pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 15th Oct 9:50am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 14th Oct 3pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0 seats: 25%, 1 seats: 25%, 2 seats: 25%, 3 or more seats: 25%

Action history:

Created Fri 5th Sep 9:26am PDT by rpfreely
Suspended Tue 14th Oct 3pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 14th Oct 9:25pm PDT by bcguelph: The Greens won no seats. Settle as 0 zero.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/
Settled as '0 seats' Wed 15th Oct 9:50am PDT by infernalmachine[Admin]: 6.8% pop. vote but no seats won
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/federal-election-2008

Suspend date: Tue 14th Oct 3pm PDT Settlement date: Wed 15th Oct 9:50am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 14th Oct 3pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (117)

117 predictions

7 weeks ago
hect0r predicted 0 seats (H$50 at 43%)
7 weeks ago
keyeshoveden predicted 2 seats (H$100 at 18%)
7 weeks ago
gumbloid predicted 1 seats (H$100 at 27%)
7 weeks ago
cherylincanada predicted 0 seats (H$100 at 48%)
7 weeks ago
dragonfangxl predicted 0 seats (H$25 at 48%)
more

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