Created Fri 5th Sep 2008 8:26am PST by

rpfreely Level 1, Newbie (H$1,000)

How many seats will the Green Party of Canada win in the 2008 Federal Election?

Settled as 0 seats

6.8% pop. vote but no seats won
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/federal-election-2008

Background:

Background: It is anticipated that the a General Election will be held October 14, 2008. The Green Party of Canada did not elect any MPs last time around, but at dissolution (presuming it happens) they have 1, with some seeing chances for their leader, Elizabeth May, and others, at taking their seats as well.

How well will they do? Even odds to start.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

0 seats

44%

1 seats

26%

2 seats

18%

3 or more seats

11%

Settled as 0 seats on Wed 15th Oct 2008 8:50am PST

Activity: H$24,988
Predictions: 117
Comments: 0

Suspend date: Tue 14th Oct 2008 2pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 15th Oct 2008 8:50am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 14th Oct 2008 2pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0 seats: 25%, 1 seats: 25%, 2 seats: 25%, 3 or more seats: 25%

Action history:

Created Fri 5th Sep 2008 8:26am PST by

rpfreely Level 1, Newbie (H$1,000)

Suspended Tue 14th Oct 2008 2pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Tue 14th Oct 2008 8:25pm PST by

bcguelph Level 15, Seer (H$273,959)

: The Greens won no seats. Settle as 0 zero.

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/

Settled as '0 seats' Wed 15th Oct 2008 8:50am PST by

infernalmachine [Power User]

: 6.8% pop. vote but no seats won
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/politics/federal-election-2008

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Predictions (117)

1 year ago

hect0r Level 11, Legend (H$18,579)

predicted 0 seats (H$50 at 43%)

1 year ago

keyeshoveden [Power User]

predicted 2 seats (H$100 at 18%)

1 year ago

gumbloid Level 1, Newbie (H$1,000)

predicted 1 seats (H$100 at 27%)

1 year ago

cherylincanada Level 4, Whiz-kid (H$1,234)

predicted 0 seats (H$100 at 48%)

1 year ago

dragonfangxl Level 7, Pro (H$3,936)

predicted 0 seats (H$25 at 48%)

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