Created Fri 5th Sep 2008 9:55am PST by 
neuronexmachina
neuronexmachina 
How many Supreme Court justices will be appointed during the next presidential term (ending 2013)?
Background: When a US Supreme Court justice retires or passes away the President nominates a new justice who has to be confirmed by the Senate. Nominations and recess appointments which are not confirmed by the Senate will not count towards the total. If the next President serves two terms, only the first term will count for this question. Similarly, if the President is replaced for whatever reason, the appointments by the replacement President will count towards this total, so long as they occur before the end of the term.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Zero |
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| One |
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| Two |
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| Three |
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| Four |
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| More than four |
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Question suspends in 2 years
- Activity: H$14,960 |
- Predictions: 51 |
Comments: 3
Suspend date: Sat 21st Jan 2012 7:59am PST (2 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: Zero: 24%, One: 25%, Two: 25%, Three: 24%, Four: 1%, More than four: 1%
Action history:
Created Fri 5th Sep 2008 9:55am PST by neuronexmachina
neuronexmachina 
Suspend date: Sat 21st Jan 2012 7:59am PST (2 years to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (51)
wahsfrog
predicted Two (H$500 at 36%)
pita_soup
predicted Three (H$100 at 33%)
bout3fitty
predicted Two (H$500 at 35%)
eliminatiComments (3)
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score: 10
New York Times 28 weeks ago
Akhil Amar and I just published suggesting that President Obama might nominate two justices for the Supreme Court: Souters formal letter to Obama indicates that he will step down at the end of this term presumably late June. But
score: 10
Los Angeles Times 28 weeks ago
As if President Obama did not have enough on his plate! He will soon need to nominate a Supreme Court justice to replace David H. Souter, who intends to retire. While Obama is
score: 10
Guardian Unlimited 28 weeks ago
has many virtues as a jurist: he has been a modest, thoughtful and lawyerly voice on the US supreme court. But one of the most remarkable and praiseworthy features of his tenure has been his manner of leaving it. Souter is retiring voluntarily at the age
score: 10
BBC 28 weeks ago
Now that US Supreme Court Justice David Souter has announced that he is retiring, the search is on for a replacement. Whomever President Obama picks could serve on the court for decades and leave
score: 10
Washington Post 29 weeks ago
The Post asked former officials, legal scholars and others how President Obama should handle his first Supreme Court nomination. Below are contributions from Benjamin Wittes, Jamie S. Gorelick, Dianne Feinstein, Kim Gandy, Edward Whelan, Walter
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