Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
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How many Supreme Court justices will be appointed during the next presidential term (ending 2013)?

Background: When a US Supreme Court justice retires or passes away the President nominates a new justice who has to be confirmed by the Senate. Nominations and recess appointments which are not confirmed by the Senate will not count towards the total. If the next President serves two terms, only the first term will count for this question. Similarly, if the President is replaced for whatever reason, the appointments by the replacement President will count towards this total, so long as they occur before the end of the term.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Zero
7%
One
11%
Two
36%
Three
33%
Four
9%
More than four
5%
Question suspends in 2 years

Suspend date: Sat 21st Jan 2012 7:59am PST (2 years to go)

Initial likelihoods: Zero: 24%, One: 25%, Two: 25%, Three: 24%, Four: 1%, More than four: 1%

Action history:

Created Fri 5th Sep 2008 9:55am PST by neuronexmachina

Suspend date: Sat 21st Jan 2012 7:59am PST (2 years to go) details

 

Predictions (51)

11 weeks ago
wahsfrog predicted Two (H$500 at 36%)
18 weeks ago
pita_soup predicted Three (H$100 at 33%)
21 weeks ago
bout3fitty predicted Two (H$500 at 35%)
28 weeks ago
eliminati predicted Three (H$500 at 29%)
28 weeks ago
eliminati predicted Two (H$500 at 28%)

Comments (3)

  1 bigken1
Why are people placing their H$ on something that will not end till 4 years from now?
posted 1 year ago
Even though it's ending 4 years from now, the values will still fluctuate based on circumstances (e.g. who is elected President, health conditions of justices, etc.) and they would be able to cash in before then.
posted 1 year ago
  3 bookie
There are questions combining swine flu and members of congress, why do I feel it's inappropriate to mention the effect of the former on this question?

Oops.
posted 29 weeks ago

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