Created Fri 5th Sep 10:55am PDT by 
neuronexmachina
All questions » Politics » US Politics » neuronexmachina 
How many Supreme Court justices will be appointed during the next presidential term (ending 2013)?
Current forecast: Three (36% chance
)
)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Three with a probability of 36% (unchanged in last 1 day)
When a US Supreme Court justice retires or passes away the President nominates a new justice who has to be confirmed by the Senate. Nominations and recess appointments which are not confirmed by the Senate will not count towards the total. If the next President serves two terms, only the first term will count for this question. Similarly, if the President is replaced for whatever reason, the appointments by the replacement President will count towards this total, so long as they occur before the end of the term.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Activity: H$4,526
Question suspends in 3 years
Suspend date: Sat 21st Jan 2012 7:59am PST (3 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: Zero: 24%, One: 25%, Two: 25%, Three: 24%, Four: 1%, More than four: 1%
Action history:
Created Fri 5th Sep 10:55am PDT by neuronexmachina
neuronexmachina
Suspend date: Sat 21st Jan 2012 7:59am PST (3 years to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (19)
19 predictions
conspiracy2riot
growthy
biloxibeachboy
ryanj![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
predicted Two (H$100 at 23%)
infernalmachine
destry
onedave![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user"){kind=icon}
predicted One (H$20 at 27%)
newswranglerComments (2)
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score: 10
US News 1 day ago
probably surprised that Justice Byron 'Whizzer' White was far more conservative on the bench than liberals expected. Similarly, President George H. W. Bush had to be stunned by how liberal Justice David Souter has been with his opinions throughout his
score: 10
Philippine Daily Inquirer 2 days ago
and Bar Council (JBC), which is tasked with preparing the short list of candidates for vacancies in the Supreme Court to be submitted to Malacaņang, will meet again. On the agenda is the important question of whether to make the voting records of the
score: 10
Philippine Daily Inquirer 5 days ago
in reaction to the various views and reports on the publics renewed concern over the appointment of new Supreme Court justices, which the retirement of seven incumbent justices next year will necessitate. (Bantay Korte to watch SC appointments,
score: 10
USA Today 6 days ago
During this leadership transition, USA TODAY answers reader-submitted questions about the presidential hand-off. Q: Which of Barack Obama's staffers will require congressional approval, and why? A: New presidents are free to fill more than 7,000
score: 10
LLRX.com 1 week ago
evolved over the past couple hundred years and every position outside of the new president?s personal staff requires Senate approval. [Editor's note: see also the 2008-2009 Presidential Transition Resources website and the Presidential Transition Guide
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