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Where will the DJIA close on Monday, September 8, 2008?

Settled as DJIA will close between 11,500.01 and 11,600.00

Settled as "between 11500.01 and 11600.00" as DJIA closed at 11510.74

Background:

Not much movement on Friday to finish the week. Monday begins a new week...first full week of the regular presidential campaign, now that the conventions are over.

Market suspends 1 hour prior to closing


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

DJIA will close at or below 11,000.00
1%
DJIA will close between 11,000.01 and 11,100.00
1%
DJIA will close between 11,100.01 and 11,200.00
2%
DJIA will close between 11,200.01 and 11,300.00
16%
DJIA will close between 11,300.01 and 11,400.00
36%
DJIA will close between 11,400.01 and 11,500.00
40%
DJIA will close between 11,500.01 and 11,600.00
4%
DJIA will close at or above 11,600.01
1%
Activity: H$30,564
Settled as DJIA will close between 11,500.01 and 11,600.00 on Mon 8th Sep 1:18pm PDT

Suspend date: Mon 8th Sep 12pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 8th Sep 1:18pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 8th Sep 12pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: DJIA will close at or below 11,000.00: 4%, DJIA will close between 11,000.01 and 11,100.00: 9%, DJIA will close between 11,100.01 and 11,200.00: 19%, DJIA will close between 11,200.01 and 11,300.00: 27%, DJIA will close between 11,300.01 and 11,400.00: 20%, DJIA will close between 11,400.01 and 11,500.00: 15%, DJIA will close between 11,500.01 and 11,600.00: 4%, DJIA will close at or above 11,600.01: 2%

Action history:

Created Fri 5th Sep 1:39pm PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Mon 8th Sep 12pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'DJIA will close between 11,500.01 and 11,600.00' Mon 8th Sep 1:18pm PDT by bayoubear[Admin]: Settled as "between 11500.01 and 11600.00" as DJIA closed at 11510.74

Suspend date: Mon 8th Sep 12pm PDT Settlement date: Mon 8th Sep 1:18pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 8th Sep 12pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (319)

319 predictions

12 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted DJIA will close between 11,200.01 and 11,300.00 (H$333 at 13%)
12 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted DJIA will close at or below 11,000.00 (H$50 at 0%)
12 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted DJIA will close between 11,000.01 and 11,100.00 (H$50 at 0%)
12 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted DJIA will close between 11,100.01 and 11,200.00 (H$100 at 1%)
12 weeks ago
cognos[Power User] predicted DJIA will close between 11,200.01 and 11,300.00 (H$333 at 7%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 bayoubear[Admin]
In case anyone is unsure, or hasn't notice the change in times, here are the new rules relating to suspension times for the indices markets as posted on the notice board.

Indices rule change - Indices questions will be suspended one hour before the markets close. The only exception will be those questions that relate to the numerical state of a market, such as the poker hand and tens digits questions.
posted 12 weeks ago

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