
What will be the next US launch vehicle to send humans into orbit?
1%)The answers only include the general name for the series of launch vehicles, in case of numbering changes (for example, if the Ares I becomes the Ares II). In case of a name change, the original answer will still remain valid.
For more information on the launch vehicles:
http://www.nasaspaceflight.com/content/?cid=4823 (Lockheed Martin)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ares_I
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Blue_Origin
http://spaceports.blogspot.com/2008/07/taurus-2-may-seek-human-launch-rating.html (Orbital)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/XCOR_Aerospace
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Virgin_Galactic
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Lockheed Martin's Atlas series |
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NASA's Ares series |
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SpaceX's Falcon series |
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A vehicle developed by Blue Origin |
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A vehicle developed by Orbital Corporation |
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A vehicle developed by Virgin Galactic |
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A vehicle developed by XCOR Aerospace |
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Another vehicle |
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No non-Shuttle US manned launch vehicle by 2018 |
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Suspend date: Thu 6th Sep 2018 12:59am PDT (9 years to go)
Initial likelihoods: Lockheed Martin's Atlas series: 20%, NASA's Ares series: 30%, SpaceX's Falcon series: 20%, A vehicle developed by Blue Origin: 5%, A vehicle developed by Orbital Corporation: 5%, A vehicle developed by Virgin Galactic: 5%, A vehicle developed by XCOR Aerospace: 5%, Another vehicle: 5%, No non-Shuttle US manned launch vehicle by 2018: 5%
Action history:
Suspend date: Thu 6th Sep 2018 12:59am PDT (9 years to go)
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Predictions (21)
21 predictions
Comments (2)
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