Created Sat 6th Sep 2008 9:16am PST by

How many seats will the Conservatives win combined in ridings in Vancouver, Toronto and Montreal?

Settled as 0 urban seats

There were no urban seats won by the Conservatives in Montreal, Toronto and Vancouver.

This question asks about the actual cities, not the Greater {city name} Area, which is often how it is reported.

Montreal had no Conservative wins in the city or the region.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/ridings/quebec.html

Toronto had none.
http://www.citynews.ca/news/features_28094.aspx?&categoryurl=http://www.citynews.ca/news/features_26558.aspx

Vancouver
There are five seats in the city of Vancouver (Vancouver Quadra, Vancouver Centre, Vancouver East, Vancouver South and Vancouver Kingsway). None were won by the Conservatives.
http://www.electionprediction.org/2007_fed/p_59bc.html
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/map/2008/

Background:

Background: In the last Federal Election the Conservatives did not win any seats in the ridings withing the city limits of Vancouver, Toronto or Montreal, Canada's three largest cities. Will this time be different? How many of the big three's urban ridings will they win?

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Forecast history %

0 urban seats

31%

1-2 urban seats

38%

3-4 urban seats

23%

5-7 urban seats

8+ urban seats

Settled as 0 urban seats on Thu 16th Oct 2008 9:05am PST

Activity: H$7,312
Predictions: 34
Comments: 1

Suspend date: Tue 14th Oct 2008 2pm PST
Settlement date: Thu 16th Oct 2008 9:05am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 14th Oct 2008 2pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0 urban seats: 30%, 1-2 urban seats: 30%, 3-4 urban seats: 30%, 5-7 urban seats: 9%, 8+ urban seats: 1%

Action history:

Created Sat 6th Sep 2008 9:16am PST by

ratel

Suspended Tue 14th Oct 2008 2pm PST : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Wed 15th Oct 2008 1:37am PST by

mork

: http://enr.elections.ca/MajorCentres_e.aspx

Settled as '0 urban seats' Thu 16th Oct 2008 9:05am PST by

infernalmachine [Power User]

: There were no urban seats won by the Conservatives in Montreal, Toronto and Vancouver.

This question asks about the actual cities, not the Greater {city name} Area, which is often how it is reported.

Montreal had no Conservative wins in the city or the region.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/ridings/quebec.html

Toronto had none.
http://www.citynews.ca/news/features_28094.aspx?&categoryurl=http://www.citynews.ca/news/features_26558.aspx

Vancouver
There are five seats in the city of Vancouver (Vancouver Quadra, Vancouver Centre, Vancouver East, Vancouver South and Vancouver Kingsway). None were won by the Conservatives.
http://www.electionprediction.org/2007_fed/p_59bc.html
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/map/2008/

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Predictions (34)

1 year ago

gumbloid Level 1, Newbie (H$1,000)

predicted 3-4 urban seats (H$100 at 22%)

1 year ago

jakethesnake Level 15, Seer (H$278,431)

predicted 1-2 urban seats (H$500 at 35%)

1 year ago

jakethesnake Level 15, Seer (H$278,431)

predicted 0 urban seats (H$500 at 33%)

1 year ago

hippyboomer Level 14, Prophet (H$116,361)

predicted 3-4 urban seats (H$50 at 25%)

1 year ago

storekeeperathscm Level 10, Genius (H$13,800)

predicted 0 urban seats (H$100 at 29%)

Comments (1)

ratel

Can we have a discussion of why the conservatives or do not appeal to city-folk?

posted 1 year ago

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