Created Sat 6th Sep 10:16am PDT by ratel

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How many seats will the Conservatives win combined in ridings in Vancouver, Toronto and Montreal?

There were no urban seats won by the Conservatives in Montreal, Toronto and Vancouver.

This question asks about the actual cities, not the Greater {city name} Area, which is often how it is reported.

Montreal had no Conservative wins in the city or the region.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/ridings/quebec.html

Toronto had none.
http://www.citynews.ca/news/features_28094.aspx?&categoryurl=http://www.citynews.ca/news/features_26558.aspx

Vancouver
There are five seats in the city of Vancouver (Vancouver Quadra, Vancouver Centre, Vancouver East, Vancouver South and Vancouver Kingsway). None were won by the Conservatives.
http://www.electionprediction.org/2007_fed/p_59bc.html
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/map/2008/

Background:

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

How many seats will the Conservatives win combined in ridings in Vancouver, Toronto and Montreal?

    0 urban seats

    1-2 urban seats

    3-4 urban seats

    5-7 urban seats

    8+ urban seats

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Forecast history, %

   Zoom in

Settled

	0 urban seats	31%
	1-2 urban seats	38%
	3-4 urban seats	23%
	5-7 urban seats	7%
	8+ urban seats	1%

Activity: H$7,312

Settled as 0 urban seats on Thu 16th Oct 10:05am PDT

Suspend date: Tue 14th Oct 3pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 16th Oct 10:05am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 14th Oct 3pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: 0 urban seats: 30%, 1-2 urban seats: 30%, 3-4 urban seats: 30%, 5-7 urban seats: 9%, 8+ urban seats: 1%

Action history:

Created Sat 6th Sep 10:16am PDT by ratel

Suspended Tue 14th Oct 3pm PDT : Suspend date reached

Settlement requested Wed 15th Oct 2:37am PDT by mork: http://enr.elections.ca/MajorCentres_e.aspx

Settled as '0 urban seats' Thu 16th Oct 10:05am PDT by infernalmachine: There were no urban seats won by the Conservatives in Montreal, Toronto and Vancouver.

This question asks about the actual cities, not the Greater {city name} Area, which is often how it is reported.

Montreal had no Conservative wins in the city or the region.
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/ridings/quebec.html

Toronto had none.
http://www.citynews.ca/news/features_28094.aspx?&categoryurl=http://www.citynews.ca/news/features_26558.aspx

Vancouver
There are five seats in the city of Vancouver (Vancouver Quadra, Vancouver Centre, Vancouver East, Vancouver South and Vancouver Kingsway). None were won by the Conservatives.
http://www.electionprediction.org/2007_fed/p_59bc.html
http://www.cbc.ca/news/canadavotes/map/2008/

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Suspend date: Tue 14th Oct 3pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 16th Oct 10:05am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 14th Oct 3pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (34)

34 predictions

7 weeks ago

gumbloid predicted 3-4 urban seats (H$100 at 22%)

7 weeks ago

jakethesnake predicted 1-2 urban seats (H$500 at 35%)

7 weeks ago

jakethesnake predicted 0 urban seats (H$500 at 33%)

7 weeks ago

hippyboomer predicted 3-4 urban seats (H$50 at 25%)

8 weeks ago

storekeeperathscm predicted 0 urban seats (H$100 at 29%)

more

7 weeks ago

gumbloid predicted 3-4 urban seats (H$100 at 22%)

7 weeks ago

jakethesnake predicted 1-2 urban seats (H$500 at 35%)

7 weeks ago

jakethesnake predicted 0 urban seats (H$500 at 33%)

7 weeks ago

hippyboomer predicted 3-4 urban seats (H$50 at 25%)

8 weeks ago

storekeeperathscm predicted 0 urban seats (H$100 at 29%)

9 weeks ago

calgaryguy predicted 3-4 urban seats (H$50 at 25%)

11 weeks ago

ratel predicted 1-2 urban seats (H$50 at 36%)

11 weeks ago

ratel predicted 5-7 urban seats (H$50 at 9%)

11 weeks ago

ratel predicted 3-4 urban seats (H$100 at 24%)

11 weeks ago

jakethesnake predicted 1-2 urban seats (H$75 at 36%)

11 weeks ago

jakethesnake predicted 0 urban seats (H$75 at 30%)

11 weeks ago

rogi predicted 1-2 urban seats (H$20 at 36%)

12 weeks ago

canadianveggie predicted 5-7 urban seats (H$200 at 11%)

12 weeks ago

hippyboomer predicted 3-4 urban seats (H$380 at 36%)

12 weeks ago

hippyboomer predicted 8+ urban seats (H$40 at 1%)

12 weeks ago

hippyboomer predicted 5-7 urban seats (H$280 at 8%)

12 weeks ago

hippyboomer predicted 3-4 urban seats (H$800 at 30%)

12 weeks ago

cjpberry predicted 0 urban seats (H$20 at 30%)

12 weeks ago

infernalmachine predicted 1-2 urban seats (H$100 at 37%)

12 weeks ago

infernalmachine predicted 0 urban seats (H$100 at 30%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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Comments (1)

  1 ratel

Can we have a discussion of why the conservatives or do not appeal to city-folk?

posted 11 weeks ago

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