
Will John or Elizabeth Edwards perform any public speeches before the November Election?
http://news.yahoo.com/story//ap/20080917/ap_on_re_us/elizabeth_edwards
Background:>
Edwards had been scheduled to speak at Hofstra on Tuesday. School spokesman Stuart Vincent says an agent for John Edwards did not say why the speech was canceled.
John Edwards hasn't spoken publicly since admitting to an affair about a month ago. While both John and Elizabeth Edwards still have speeches scheduled in September and October, they have been slowly canceling events.
Press conferences and media interviews do not count as a public speech. To avoid a headache annoucements of giving a speech won't settle the market. As seen in the back ground John cancelled his speech after he was scheduled to make it. This will suspend on November 1 and be settled after the election. If either gives a speech before then it can be settled.
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,417006,00.html
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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no - neither Edwards gives a speech |
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yes - either Edwards gives a speech |
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Suspend date: Sat 1st Nov 9am PDT Settlement date: Tue 16th Sep 8:44pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 16th Sep 6pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: no - neither Edwards gives a speech: 70%, yes - either Edwards gives a speech: 30%
Action history:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080917/ap_on_re_us/elizabeth_edwards
Suspend date: Sat 1st Nov 9am PDT Settlement date: Tue 16th Sep 8:44pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Tue 16th Sep 6pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (23)
23 predictions
Comments (4)
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