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To which world region will this year's Nobel Peace Prize go?

Settled as Northern or Western Europe

Finland's ex-president Martti Ahtisaari won the Nobel Peace Prize on Friday for his efforts to build a lasting peace from Africa and Asia to Europe and the Middle East.

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5gxlV8ahufobsVjfRoiUlk983FJIgD93NMBBG0

Background:

The Nobel Peace Prize

Henry Dunant, founder of the Red Cross, shared the first Nobel Peace Prize in 1901 with Frédéric Passy, a leading international pacifist of the time. In addition to humanitarian efforts and peace movements, the Nobel Peace Prize has been awarded for work in a wide range of fields including advocacy of human rights, mediation of international conflicts, and arms control.

Nominations for 2008
197 names were submitted for the 2008 Nobel Peace Prize, 33 of which are organizations. The Nobel Committees in Physics, Chemistry, Physiology or Medicine, Literature and the Prize Committee for Economics each usually receives 250-300 names every year. The names of the nominees cannot be revealed until 50 years later.

Announcements of the 2008 Nobel Prizes
Peace - Friday, October 10, 11:00 a.m. CET

http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/peace/
http://www.nobelprize.org/prize_announcements/
http://www.nobelprize.org/nomination/nomination_facts.html

Regions, according to hubdub good question guidelines (http://www.hubdub.com/public/goodquestion), as defined here: http://www.un.org/depts/dhl/maplib/worldregions.htm
and visualized here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:United_Nations_geographical_subregions.png


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Africa
14%
Eastern Asia
60%
South-Central or South Eastern Asia
6%
Western Asia
2%
Eastern Europe
7%
Northern or Western Europe
2%
Southern Europe
2%
Latin America
5%
Northern America
2%
Oceania
1%
Activity: H$18,903
Settled as Northern or Western Europe on Fri 10th Oct 2:28pm PDT

Suspend date: Thu 9th Oct 2am PDT Settlement date: Fri 10th Oct 2:28pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 9th Oct 2am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Africa: 10%, Eastern Asia: 10%, South-Central or South Eastern Asia: 10%, Western Asia: 10%, Eastern Europe: 10%, Northern or Western Europe: 10%, Southern Europe: 10%, Latin America: 10%, Northern America: 10%, Oceania: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 6th Sep 1:52pm PDT by kruijs[Power User]
Changed Suspend date Tue 7th Oct 12:02am PDT by tisha[Admin]: was: "2008-10-10 02:00:00"
Suspended Thu 9th Oct 2am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Northern or Western Europe' Fri 10th Oct 2:28pm PDT by tisha[Admin]: Finland's ex-president Martti Ahtisaari won the Nobel Peace Prize on Friday for his efforts to build a lasting peace from Africa and Asia to Europe and the Middle East.

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5gxlV8ahufobsVjfRoiUlk983FJIgD93NMBBG0

Suspend date: Thu 9th Oct 2am PDT Settlement date: Fri 10th Oct 2:28pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 9th Oct 2am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (155)

155 predictions

7 weeks ago
violetplanet predicted Eastern Asia (H$300 at 58%)
7 weeks ago
violetplanet predicted Eastern Asia (H$264 at 54%)
8 weeks ago
bgrigore predicted South-Central or South Eastern Asia (H$100 at 5%)
8 weeks ago
bgrigore predicted Eastern Asia (H$1,000 at 49%)
8 weeks ago
halokitty predicted Southern Europe (H$100 at 3%)
more

Comments (1)

It was Martti Ahtisaari. He came out of nowhere!
posted 7 weeks ago

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