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To which world region will this year's Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences go?

Settled as Northern America

The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences says that American Paul Krugman has won the Nobel economics prize "for his analysis of trade patterns and location of economic activity."

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hvgJXYzXRBOttYAflCSJumnfVXxQD93PIQRG0

Background:

The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel

In 1968, Sveriges Riksbank (Sweden's central bank) established this Prize in memory of Alfred Nobel, founder of the Nobel Prize. The first Prize in Economics was awarded to Ragnar Frisch and Jan Tinbergen in 1969

Nominations for 2008
197 names were submitted for the 2008 Nobel Peace Prize, 33 of which are organizations. The Nobel Committees in Physics, Chemistry, Physiology or Medicine, Literature and the Prize Committee for Economics each usually receives 250-300 names every year. The names of the nominees cannot be revealed until 50 years later.

Announcements of the 2008 Nobel Prizes
Economics - Monday, October 13, 1:00 p.m. CET at the earliest

http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/
http://www.nobelprize.org/prize_announcements/
http://www.nobelprize.org/nomination/nomination_facts.html

Regions, according to hubdub good question guidelines (http://www.hubdub.com/public/goodquestion), as defined here: http://www.un.org/depts/dhl/maplib/worldregions.htm
and visualized here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:United_Nations_geographical_subregions.png


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Africa
5%
Eastern Asia
4%
South-Central or South Eastern Asia
8%
Western Asia
3%
Eastern Europe
4%
Northern or Western Europe
24%
Southern Europe
7%
Latin America
3%
Northern America
37%
Oceania
4%
Activity: H$12,044
Settled as Northern America on Mon 13th Oct 4:26am PDT

Suspend date: Sun 12th Oct 4am PDT Settlement date: Mon 13th Oct 4:26am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 12th Oct 4am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Africa: 10%, Eastern Asia: 10%, South-Central or South Eastern Asia: 10%, Western Asia: 10%, Eastern Europe: 10%, Northern or Western Europe: 10%, Southern Europe: 10%, Latin America: 10%, Northern America: 10%, Oceania: 10%

Action history:

Created Sat 6th Sep 1:54pm PDT by kruijs[Power User]
Changed Suspend date Tue 7th Oct 12:15am PDT by tisha[Admin]: was: "2008-10-13 04:00:00"
Suspended Sun 12th Oct 4am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 13th Oct 4:17am PDT by kruijs[Power User]: The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences says that American Paul Krugman has won the Nobel economics prize "for his analysis of trade patterns and location of economic activity."

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hvgJXYzXRBOttYAflCSJumnfVXxQD93PIQRG0
Settled as 'Northern America' Mon 13th Oct 4:26am PDT by tisha[Admin]: The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences says that American Paul Krugman has won the Nobel economics prize "for his analysis of trade patterns and location of economic activity."

http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5hvgJXYzXRBOttYAflCSJumnfVXxQD93PIQRG0

Suspend date: Sun 12th Oct 4am PDT Settlement date: Mon 13th Oct 4:26am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sun 12th Oct 4am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (108)

108 predictions

7 weeks ago
kirin predicted Africa (H$10 at 5%)
7 weeks ago
klausmitte2 predicted Northern or Western Europe (H$50 at 25%)
7 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Africa (H$100 at 4%)
7 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Northern America (H$100 at 37%)
7 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted South-Central or South Eastern Asia (H$100 at 6%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 dieseldog
@kruijs...i don't know the slightest thing about these nobel prize's. goodluck to those of you who do.
posted 12 weeks ago
  2 badb0y
Almost always goes to an American, but no harm in hedging a little at those odds.
posted 12 weeks ago

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