Created Sat 6th Sep 2008 2:30pm PST by 
neuronexmachina
neuronexmachina 
Will NASA cancel the Ares I rocket by the end of 2009?
Background: NASA's development of the Ares I launcher -- a crew launch vehicle intended to be used after the retirement of the Space Shuttle -- has run into a number of developmental hurdles and design problems, with many calling for its cancellation in favor of alternative launchers. This question will be settled based on an official announcement before the end of 2009 from NASA, the President, or another US government entity that the Ares I rocket will be canceled or indefinitely postponed.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ares_I
http://www.flightglobal.com/articles/2008/08/08/310555/the-battle-goes-on-for-nasas-ares-rockets.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ares_I
http://www.flightglobal.com/articles/2008/08/08/310555/the-battle-goes-on-for-nasas-ares-rockets.html
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Announced by Nov. 4, 2008 |
| ||||
| Announced from Nov. 5, 2008 to Jan. 19, 2009 |
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| Announced from Jan. 20, 2009 to end of 2009 |
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| No announcement prior to end of 2009 |
|
Question suspends in 5 weeks
- Activity: H$35,673 |
- Predictions: 67 |
Comments: 3
Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Announced by Nov. 4, 2008: 20%, Announced from Nov. 5, 2008 to Jan. 19, 2009: 20%, Announced from Jan. 20, 2009 to end of 2009: 30%, No announcement prior to end of 2009: 30%
Action history:
Created Sat 6th Sep 2008 2:30pm PST by neuronexmachina
neuronexmachina 
Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 11:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (67)
ozarkguy
predicted No announcement prior to end of 2009 (H$20 at 39%)
raidersin09
predicted No announcement prior to end of 2009 (H$111 at 39%)
frogchop
predicted No announcement prior to end of 2009 (H$250 at 40%)Comments (3)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
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score: 10
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Here's an article on how engineers plan to make the rocket less suscetible to vibrations and provide a more comfortable ride for future moon-walkers
http://www.sciam.com/blog/60-second-science/post.cfm?id=how-nasa-plans-to-quell-ares-1-rock-2008-08-19
http://www.newscientist.com/blogs/shortsharpscience/2009/07/death-knell-for-nasas-ares-roc.html
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