Created Sun 7th Sep 2008 10:54am PST by 
neuronexmachina
neuronexmachina 
How many successful launches will SpaceX have by the end of 2009?
Background: SpaceX is a private orbital rocket launch company started by internet billionaire Elon Musk with the hope of reducing the cost of spaceflight by an order of magnitude. As of September 2008, their first three launches have failed to reach orbit, although Musk has stated that the problems from earlier flights have been identified and fixed. For the purposes of this question a launch will be considered a success if the
rocket's payload reaches orbit.
As of September 7, 2008, SpaceX has seven announced launches on their launch manifest scheduled through the end of 2009.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX
http://spacex.com/updates.php
http://spacex.com/launch_manifest.php
rocket's payload reaches orbit.
As of September 7, 2008, SpaceX has seven announced launches on their launch manifest scheduled through the end of 2009.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX
http://spacex.com/updates.php
http://spacex.com/launch_manifest.php
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
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Question suspends in 5 weeks
- Activity: H$11,917 |
- Predictions: 57 |
Comments: 0
Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Zero: 10%, 1: 10%, 2: 10%, 3: 10%, 4: 10%, 5: 10%, 6: 10%, 7: 10%, 8: 10%, 9 or more: 10%
Action history:
Created Sun 7th Sep 2008 10:54am PST by neuronexmachina
neuronexmachina 
Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 2010 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) details 
Get widget!Predictions (57)
zusiman
predicted 2 (H$100 at 50%)
maartenkaas
predicted 3 (H$20 at 15%)
frogchop
predicted 1 (H$250 at 7%)Comments (0)
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