Created Sun 7th Sep 1:21pm PDT by 
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Will the attorney general indict Israel's Prime Minister Ehud Olmert?
Current forecast: 65% chance 
8%
8%
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 65% likely to happen (up 8% in last 1 day)
Israel's police recommended Sunday that Prime Minister Ehud Olmert should be indicted in a string of corruption cases, according to an official document.
The decision about whether to indict Olmert rests with the attorney general, Meni Mazuz. In the past, Mazuz and his predecessors have turned down police recommendations to indict Israeli leaders several times.
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jHxO0KmvqjmyFN039njXdLAIrXUAD93215CO1
Category Editor Clarification: I'm extending the suspend date on this question from Oct 31/08 to early in 2009, based on the unexpected (at the time the question was created) fact that Olmert will stay on as PM until the snap election. In other words, I'm interpreting this question as asking whether Olmert will be charged while still Prime Minister. It will settle as No if he remains un-indicted at the time he steps down as PM. (See comment #3 for further details.)
IMPORTANT: Question re-opened. Events in late November have raised the likelihood of an indictment in the near future. But for this question, it only settles as Yes if he is indicted while still Prime Minister. If he steps down without (yet) being indicted, it settles as No.
The decision about whether to indict Olmert rests with the attorney general, Meni Mazuz. In the past, Mazuz and his predecessors have turned down police recommendations to indict Israeli leaders several times.
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jHxO0KmvqjmyFN039njXdLAIrXUAD93215CO1
Category Editor Clarification: I'm extending the suspend date on this question from Oct 31/08 to early in 2009, based on the unexpected (at the time the question was created) fact that Olmert will stay on as PM until the snap election. In other words, I'm interpreting this question as asking whether Olmert will be charged while still Prime Minister. It will settle as No if he remains un-indicted at the time he steps down as PM. (See comment #3 for further details.)
IMPORTANT: Question re-opened. Events in late November have raised the likelihood of an indictment in the near future. But for this question, it only settles as Yes if he is indicted while still Prime Minister. If he steps down without (yet) being indicted, it settles as No.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Activity: H$87,335
Question suspends in 9 weeks
Suspend date: Thu 5th Feb 2009 12:59pm PST (9 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%
Action history:
Created Sun 7th Sep 1:21pm PDT by kruijs
kruijs
Changed Description Thu 30th Oct 6:27am PDT by 
infernalmachine![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: show details
infernalmachine: show details ... , according to an official document. <.<br/> <br/> The decision about ... indict Israeli leaders several times. <.<br/> <br/> <a href='="http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jHxO0KmvqjmyFN039njXdLAIrXUAD93215CO1'>">http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jHxO0KmvqjmyFN039njXdLAIrXUAD93215CO1</a><br/> <br/> <b>Category Editor Clarification: </b> I'm extending the suspend date on this question from Oct 31/08 to early in 2009, based on the unexpected (at the time the question was created) fact that Olmert will stay on as PM until the snap election. In other words, I'm interpreting this question as asking whether Olmert will be charged while still Prime Minister. It will settle as No if he remains un-indicted at the time he steps down as PM. (See comment #3 for further details.)
Changed Suspend date Thu 30th Oct 6:42am PDT by infernalmachine: was: "2008-10-31 23:59:00"
infernalmachine: was: "2008-10-31 23:59:00"
Suspended Wed 26th Nov 7:07pm PST by infernalmachine: suspended for possible settlement
infernalmachine: suspended for possible settlement
Changed Description last Saturday 3:19am PST by infernalmachine: show details
infernalmachine: show details ... comment #3 for further details.).)<br/> <br/> <b>IMPORTANT:</b> Question re-opened. Events in late November have raised the likelihood of an indictment in the near future. <b>But for this question, it only settles as Yes if he is indicted while still Prime Minister. If he steps down without (yet) being indicted, it settles as No.</b>
Unsuspended last Saturday 3:21am PST by infernalmachine: Not known yet. Please read the new clarification that starts at IMPORTANT: (in bold-type) in the background text.
infernalmachine: Not known yet. Please read the new clarification that starts at IMPORTANT: (in bold-type) in the background text.
Suspend date: Thu 5th Feb 2009 12:59pm PST (9 weeks to go)
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Get widget!Predictions (108)
108 predictions
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monkeynachoComments (7)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
score: 10
CHINAdaily 6 days ago
in light of growing signs that he will soon be indicted on corruption charges. Israel's Prime Minister Ehud Olmert (2nd R) and Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni (2nd L) attend the weekly cabinet meeting in Jerusalem November 16, 2008. Livni on Thursday called
score: 10
Xinhuanet 6 days ago
Mazuz said he is considering an indictment against the premier. JERUSALEM, Nov. 27 (Xinhua) -- Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said Thursday that he did not plan to suspend himself despite possible indictment. Photo Gallery>>> Olmert made the remarks
score: 10
Xinhuanet 6 days ago
Mazuz said he is considering an indictment against the premier. JERUSALEM, Nov. 27 (Xinhua) -- Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said Thursday that he did not plan to suspend himself despite possible indictment. Photo Gallery>>> Olmert made the remarks
score: 10
Xinhuanet 6 days ago
JERUSALEM, Nov. 27 (Xinhua) -- Israel's ruling Kadima chairwoman Tzipi Livni Thursday urged Prime Minister Ehud Olmert to suspend himself immediately in light of the indictment facing him over the Rishon Tours scandal. Livni, who is also the foreign
score: 10
Xinhuanet 6 days ago
Mazuz said he is considering an indictment against the premier. JERUSALEM, Nov. 27 (Xinhua) -- Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said Thursday that he did not plan to suspend himself despite possible indictment. Photo Gallery>>> Olmert made the remarks
Because this may not have been what you expected, predictors can send me a flag if they want to cancel a previous wager.
The suspend date will be Feb 5th, to add a little risk to the late-predicting.
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