
Will the attorney general indict Israel's Prime Minister Ehud Olmert?
Netanyahu has been officially sworn in, and Olmert has not yet been indicted.
Background:>
The decision about whether to indict Olmert rests with the attorney general, Meni Mazuz. In the past, Mazuz and his predecessors have turned down police recommendations to indict Israeli leaders several times.
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5jHxO0KmvqjmyFN039njXdLAIrXUAD93215CO1
Category Editor Clarification: I'm extending the suspend date on this question from Oct 31/08 to early in 2009, based on the unexpected (at the time the question was created) fact that Olmert will stay on as PM until the snap election. In other words, I'm interpreting this question as asking whether Olmert will be charged while still Prime Minister. It will settle as No if he remains un-indicted at the time he steps down as PM. (See comment #3 for further details.)
IMPORTANT: Question re-opened. Events in late November have raised the likelihood of an indictment in the near future. But for this question, it only settles as Yes if he is indicted while still Prime Minister. If he steps down without (yet) being indicted, it settles as No.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
- Activity: H$252,922 |
- Predictions: 207 |
Comments: 20
Suspend date: Thu 23rd Apr 12:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 1st Apr 3:33am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 1st Apr 2:35am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 60%
Action history:
Suspend date: Thu 23rd Apr 12:59pm PST
Settlement date: Wed 1st Apr 3:33am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 1st Apr 2:35am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details
Predictions (207)
Comments (20)
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Because this may not have been what you expected, predictors can send me a flag if they want to cancel a previous wager.
The suspend date will be Feb 5th, to add a little risk to the late-predicting.
Perhaps the question needs to be rephrased, to check the situation on suspend date, rather than waiting for the PM to actually end his PMship?
When I see a question with a big difference between suspend and settlement dates, currently I treat it in one of two ways: either avoid it completely, or cash in early.
I agree with you. often, though, it is not easy to see what is going to happen, or on occasion the suspension and settlement should take place in advance.
This question is a disaster, in this way. I'll flag the question to ask the cat-ed to un-suspend it until settlement will be possible.
lol sucks
Israeli legal authorities have indicted former Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert on corruption charges.
http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5ic6RWeorIMHJ_dmXOp7pIN3VWKiwD9AD87R00
Please see:
http://www.hubdub.com/m51959/Will_Ehud_Olmert_be_found_guilty
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