Created Sun 7th Sep 6:24pm PDT by hubdubbob

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DJIA Poker - Which best poker hand will be available from the SEP 11 DJIA close?

Settled as "1 Pair" as DJIA closed at 11433.71...a pair of 3's

Background:

Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

Use the first five numbers from right to left of DJIA's closing value.

The best available hand matching one of the choices available will be used to determine the outcome.

Available hand choices, in increasing order of strength are...

High Number Only (5 different numbers)
1 Pair
2 Pair
3 of a Kind
Straight (5 consecutive numbers).
Full House (3 of a Kind and a Pair).
4 of a Kind
5 of a Kind

A zero ("0") will be used in a straight only when used before the number one ("1"). (e.g. 0,1,2,3,4 but NOT 6,7,8,9,0).

DJIA Poker - Which best poker hand will be available from the SEP 11 DJIA close?

    High Number Only (5 different numbers)

    1 Pair

    2 Pair

    3 of a Kind

    Straight (5 consecutive numbers).

    Full House. (3 of a Kind and a Pair).

    4 of a Kind

    5 of a Kind

Zoom out

Forecast history, %

   Zoom in

Settled

	High Number Only (5 different numbers)	21%
	1 Pair	26%
	2 Pair	20%
	3 of a Kind	15%
	Straight (5 consecutive numbers).	5%
	Full House. (3 of a Kind and a Pair).	7%
	4 of a Kind	6%
	5 of a Kind	0%

Activity: H$6,019

Settled as 1 Pair on Thu 11th Sep 1:13pm PDT

Suspend date: Thu 11th Sep 12:45pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 11th Sep 1:13pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 11th Sep 12:45pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: High Number Only (5 different numbers): 43%, 1 Pair: 35%, 2 Pair: 7%, 3 of a Kind: 5%, Straight (5 consecutive numbers).: 4%, Full House. (3 of a Kind and a Pair).: 3%, 4 of a Kind: 2%, 5 of a Kind: 1%

Action history:

Created Sun 7th Sep 6:25pm PDT by hubdubbob

Suspended Thu 11th Sep 12:45pm PDT : Suspend date reached

Settled as '1 Pair' Thu 11th Sep 1:13pm PDT by bayoubear: Settled as "1 Pair" as DJIA closed at 11433.71...a pair of 3's

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Suspend date: Thu 11th Sep 12:45pm PDT Settlement date: Thu 11th Sep 1:13pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 11th Sep 12:45pm PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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Predictions (43)

43 predictions

11 weeks ago

kcwildguy predicted High Number Only (5 different numbers) (H$100 at 20%)

11 weeks ago

kcwildguy predicted 1 Pair (H$100 at 26%)

11 weeks ago

shadowfax predicted High Number Only (5 different numbers) (H$100 at 19%)

11 weeks ago

shadowfax predicted Straight (5 consecutive numbers). (H$100 at 4%)

11 weeks ago

youbet predicted High Number Only (5 different numbers) (H$100 at 18%)

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11 weeks ago

kcwildguy predicted High Number Only (5 different numbers) (H$100 at 20%)

11 weeks ago

kcwildguy predicted 1 Pair (H$100 at 26%)

11 weeks ago

shadowfax predicted High Number Only (5 different numbers) (H$100 at 19%)

11 weeks ago

shadowfax predicted Straight (5 consecutive numbers). (H$100 at 4%)

11 weeks ago

youbet predicted High Number Only (5 different numbers) (H$100 at 18%)

11 weeks ago

youbet predicted 2 Pair (H$100 at 22%)

11 weeks ago

youbet predicted 3 of a Kind (H$100 at 16%)

11 weeks ago

jhouseholder predicted 2 Pair (H$3 at 22%)

11 weeks ago

comprehensive_pugilist predicted 3 of a Kind (H$250 at 13%)

11 weeks ago

comprehensive_pugilist predicted 4 of a Kind (H$250 at 4%)

11 weeks ago

gypsy predicted 2 Pair (H$1,000 at 16%)

11 weeks ago

comprehensive_pugilist predicted 3 of a Kind (H$250 at 12%)

11 weeks ago

comprehensive_pugilist predicted Full House. (3 of a Kind and a Pair). (H$250 at 6%)

11 weeks ago

hubdubbob predicted 4 of a Kind (H$20 at 3%)

11 weeks ago

kennyk predicted 4 of a Kind (H$50 at 2%)

11 weeks ago

kcwildguy predicted 2 Pair (H$20 at 9%)

11 weeks ago

jhouseholder predicted 1 Pair (H$5 at 43%)

11 weeks ago

cognos predicted 3 of a Kind (H$100 at 8%)

11 weeks ago

cognos predicted 2 Pair (H$100 at 8%)

Showing recent public predictions only

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