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Weather - Which of the lower 48 states in the US will record the lowest temp on Dec 25, 2008?

Current forecast: Montana (26% chance1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Montana with a probability of 26% (down 1% in last 1 day)


Settlement details: As reported by the usatoday.com. See http://www.usatoday.com/weather/wext.htm for data.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Idaho
10%
Montana
26%
Colorado
10%
Wyoming
8%
North Dakota
14%
Minnesota
8%
Wisconsin
6%
Vermont
3%
New Hampshire
4%
OTHER
11%
Activity: H$4,978
Question suspends in 3 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59am PST (3 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Idaho: 13%, Montana: 13%, Colorado: 13%, Wyoming: 13%, North Dakota: 13%, Minnesota: 10%, Wisconsin: 5%, Vermont: 5%, New Hampshire: 5%, OTHER: 10%

Action history:

Created Mon 8th Sep 6:38am PDT by carnacthemagnificent
Changed Suspend date Sun 5th Oct 5:49am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: was: "2008-11-30 11:59:00"
Changed Suspend date Sun 5th Oct 5:49am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: was: "2008-11-30 11:59:00"

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 11:59am PST (3 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (43)

43 predictions

2 days ago
rbrog77 predicted North Dakota (H$100 at 13%)
2 days ago
harryhayfield predicted Idaho (H$100 at 9%)
1 week ago
lcsnor predicted Montana (H$26 at 25%)
1 week ago
lcsnor predicted Montana (H$100 at 24%)
1 week ago
lcsnor predicted OTHER (H$100 at 11%)
more

Comments (1)

  1 tisha[Admin]
Hi carnac - I've moved this question to the General/Weather category. Thanks for making this question!
posted 12 weeks ago

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