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Will Andrea Ypsilanti become Ministerpräsident of Hesse before Jan 1st, 2009?

Settled as No

She has stepped down as leader of the SDP in Hesse, so this can settle now as No.
http://www.welt.de/english-news/article2694146/Hesse-SPD-leader-steps-aside-before-vote.html

Background:

After the February-elections, SPD-candidate Ypsilanti failed to gain a majority in the Parliament to get elected. Since then, incumbent Roland Koch leads a minority-government.

There are more and more reports about preparations of a red-red-green deal to ensure Ypsilanti's election in Hessen soon. But- how will the change in leadership in the federal SPD effect these plans?

Will Andrea Ypsilanti become head of the Hessian Government before the beginning of 2009?


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source, e.g. www.spiegel.de

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Yes
18%
No
82%
Activity: H$46,132
Settled as No on Mon 10th Nov 7:10am PST

Suspend date: Thu 1st Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Mon 10th Nov 7:10am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 55%

Action history:

Created Mon 8th Sep 7:13am PDT by hoernla
Suspended Thu 6th Nov 12:06pm PST by kruijs[Power User]: Suspended pending settlement
Settlement requested Thu 6th Nov 12:06pm PST by kruijs[Power User]: Please settle "no"

Please Settle "First 6 Months of 2009"

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601100&sid=aiISHHf4GSys&refer=germany

http://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/0,1518,588970,00.html (german) (market suspended)
Settlement requested Fri 7th Nov 12:39am PST by horatiomonty: I agree that it's unlikely, but it is not yet entirely clear that she cannot make it. What if the 4 "rebels" suddenly change their minds? No final decision made yet, right? No settlement. My two cents.
Settlement requested Mon 10th Nov 12:22am PST by exilpat: Andrea Ypsilanti is not going to become Ministerpräsidentin of Hesse at all. End of last week she stepped down as candidate alltogether, Thorsten Schäfer-Gümbel is the candidate now. See http://de.reuters.com/article/topNews/idDEBEE4A805F20081109
Settled as 'No' Mon 10th Nov 7:10am PST by infernalmachine[Admin]: She has stepped down as leader of the SDP in Hesse, so this can settle now as No.
http://www.welt.de/english-news/article2694146/Hesse-SPD-leader-steps-aside-before-vote.html

Suspend date: Thu 1st Jan 2009 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go) Settlement date: Mon 10th Nov 7:10am PST
more info...

 

Predictions (66)

66 predictions

3 weeks ago
subreal predicted No (H$1,000 at 82%)
3 weeks ago
exilpat predicted No (H$3,000 at 80%)
3 weeks ago
exilpat predicted No (H$50 at 78%)
4 weeks ago
mfriss predicted No (H$2,000 at 77%)
4 weeks ago
mfriss predicted No (H$500 at 75%)
more

Comments (5)

  1 randburg
Say this question twice FAST, and win a hubdub t-shirt...!
posted 12 weeks ago
Ok.
I want my T-shirt now!
posted 12 weeks ago
Could you clarify wether she has to officially take office before Jan 1st or if is enough for her to be elected by the parliament?
posted 10 weeks ago
  4 hoernla
Elected by the "Landtag" is sufficient before Jan 1st.
posted 10 weeks ago

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