Created Wed 10th Sep 11:50am PDT by
duquane
All questions » Politics » US Election 2008 » 
Which Presidential ticket will utter the first irreperable gaffe?
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Background:>
This historic election means that "mud and brick" slinging business as usual campagining is over. Or is it.
Which camp will make the first "REAL" offensive statement - McCain/ Palin or Obama/Biden?
Category Editor notation
This market is asking which campaign will make a gaffe big enough to where it is considered the reason they lost the election. So an example would be if McCain was to say something racist and after election, pundits were to say that was the gaffe that really cost him the election. It is very possible that neither campaign says anything, and this market would just be voided after the election.
Which camp will make the first "REAL" offensive statement - McCain/ Palin or Obama/Biden?
Category Editor notation
This market is asking which campaign will make a gaffe big enough to where it is considered the reason they lost the election. So an example would be if McCain was to say something racist and after election, pundits were to say that was the gaffe that really cost him the election. It is very possible that neither campaign says anything, and this market would just be voided after the election.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 3:59pm PST
Initial likelihoods: McCain/Palin: 50%, Obama/Biden: 50%
Action history:
Created Wed 10th Sep 11:50am PDT by
duquane
Voided Thu 11th Sep 7pm PDT by
destry
: Market voided. Not clear enough options to settle. Please re-submit with clearer background and options for no gaffes occur.
Voided Thu 11th Sep 7:04pm PDT by
destry
: Market has too many issues to make settlement possible. Question can be re-submitted with clearer background and an option for no gaffe's made.
Voided Thu 11th Sep 7:06pm PDT by
destry
: Market voided. Not clear enough options to settle. Please re-submit with clearer background and options for no gaffes occur.
Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 3:59pm PST
more info...
Predictions (45)
45 predictions
Comments (41)
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Mail Online UK 10 weeks ago
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score: 10
Springfield News Leader 10 weeks ago
In this election year, the word heard most often is change.. . It's the centerpiece of Sen. Barack Obama's campaign, exemplified by his slogan ...




http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=213&sid=1475778
http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/10/12/edwards.stem.cell/
Here's his latest, from CBS News:
When telling the story of how his granddaughters had a slumber party with Barack Obama's daughters during the week of the Democratic National Convention, Biden equated it to what he says Americans want.
"I believe that's a metaphor, a metaphor for what the country is looking for. They're looking for a sleepover with people they like!"
Does that explain Bill Clinton?
James Taranto - The Wall Street Journal
Huh?!?! What in the heck does that mean?! I wonder if Biden even knows what it means... how did this guy get elected in the first place?!
Maybe I'm just a crazy, but who I want to sleep with is the last thing on my mind when I vote :-)
WASHINGTON - Democratic vice presidential candidate Joe Biden found himself in an embarrassing situation during a Missouri campaign appearance Tuesday.
During a stop in Columbia, Mo., Biden was speaking before a large crowd when he decided to give special recognition to State Senator Chuck Graham.
"Chuck, stand up, let the people see you," Biden shouted.
However, Biden did not realize that Graham is confined to a wheelchair.
"Oh, God love you. What am I talking about? I'll tell you what, you're making everybody else stand up, old pal. I'll tell you what, everybody else stand up for Chuck. Stand up for Chuck!" Biden said.
Watch video of the incident: http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=213&sid=1475778
"If we do the work that we can do in this country, the work that we will do when John Kerry is president, people like Christopher Reeve will get up out of that wheelchair and walk again." - John Edwards
A misprint in a telephone book has led to some callers dialing a phone sex service while trying to reach a New Jersey political organization.
A listing for the Sussex County Democratic Committee in Embarq's white pages sent people to a sultry female voice inviting them to pay for sex chat.
Embarq spokesman Glenn Lewis told The New Jersey Herald of Newton that a transposition error caused the last three digits of the Democrats' phone number to be misprinted.
He said the listing has been corrected in Embarq's directory assistance database.
The organization's 800 number listed in the book's yellow pages was correct.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Democratic vice presidential candidate Joe Biden said Thursday that paying more in taxes is the patriotic thing to do...
"it is essential that you should practically bear in mind, that towards the payment of debts there must be Revenue; that to have Revenue there must be taxes; that no taxes can be devised, which are not more or less inconvenient and unpleasant"
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20080923/D93C985O0.html
The Democrat attacked Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) for initially opposing the federal government’s intervention to save insurance giant AIG.
“I think what has been clear during this entire past 10 days is John McCain has not had clarity and a grasp on the situation,” Obama.
But Lauer pointed out that Obama’s running mate, Sen. Joe Biden (D-Del.), had initially said the same thing – on “Today,” no less.
“I think that in that situation, I think Joe should have waited, as well,” Obama said.
Obama has voiced support for clean coal, particularly during the Kentucky primary.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0908/Biden_No_coal_plants_here_in_America.html?showall
“I thought that was terrible, by the way,” Biden said.
Asked why it was done, he said: “I didn’t know we did it and if I had anything to do with it, we’d have never done it.”
Late Monday, Obama campaign spokesman Bill Burton issued a statement from Biden. In it, Biden said he “was asked about an ad I’d never seen” and was “reacting merely to press reports.”
http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/09/22/biden-mock-mccain/
Joe Biden's denunciation of his own campaign's ad to Katie Couric got so much attention last night that another odd note in the interview slipped by.
He was speaking about the role of the White House in a financial crisis.
"When the stock market crashed, Franklin Roosevelt got on the television and didn't just talk about the princes of greed," Biden told Couric. "He said, 'Look, here's what happened.'"
As Reason's Jesse Walker footnotes it: "And if you owned an experimental TV set in 1929, you would have seen him. And you would have said to yourself, 'Who is that guy? What happened to President Hoover?'"
Joe Biden misspoke when he claimed that the United States and France had "kicked Hezbollah out of Lebanon." The radical Islamic fundamentalist group has run militias in Lebanon since the Israeli invasion of Lebanon in 1982, and masterminded the suicide bombing against the U.S. Marine baracks in Beirut in 1983. It enjoys the support of much of the Shiite population of southern Lebanon. As Biden mentioned, there was talk about sending a NATO-led force to southern Lebanon in 2006, but the idea was dropped after the United States and leading European countries refused to provide the necessary troops.
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/fact-checker/2008/10/vp_debate_part_ii.html
Sen. Obama wants to raise the top income tax bracket to 39.6 percent. Ronald Reagan had lowered it to 28 percent.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/10/joe_biden_and_the_truth.html
Article I of the Constitution defines the role of Congress, the legislative branch, and declares that "The Vice President of the United States shall be President of the Senate, but shall have no vote, unless they be equally divided." That is the only responsibility of the vice president delineated anywhere in the Constitution. Article II describes the responsibilities of the Executive Branch. The election of the vice president is mentioned in Article II, but that Article says not a word about the powers and duties of the vice president as vice president.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/printpage/?url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/10/joe_biden_and_the_truth.html
According to the Congressional Research Service, spending on the war in Afghanistan since 2001 has been about $172 billion. We've been spending a little less than $10 billion a month in Iraq. Sen. Biden was off by a factor of about 1,700 percent.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/printpage/?url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/10/joe_biden_and_the_truth.html
Sen. Biden says things which are not true with passionate conviction.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/printpage/?url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/10/joe_biden_and_the_truth.html
It turns out that Katie's Restaurant closed down fifteen years ago. Talk radio host Curtis Sliwa of WABC dug this information up (audio here). He also got puzzled reactions from Wilmington Home Depots asking if anyone had ever sighted Biden. Think any mainstream reporter will follow up and ask him which Home Depot he frequents? Think any journalist will go to that Home Depot to confirm?
Joe Biden's 1988 presidential campaign shut down due to revelations of egregious plagiarism. He was discovered to have plagiarized in law school. He commits gaffes on a daily basis.
Biden succeeded in the debate by covering up who he really is.
Palin succeeded in the debate by conveying who she really is.
http://www.iris.org.il/blog/archives/2892-Bidens-Hangout-Closed-15-Years-Ago.html
Joe Biden Can't Count
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bq-eeWow_WU
http://www.gop.com/BidenGaffeClock/
https://www.democrats.org/page/contribute/ChangeWeNeed
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