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Which Presidential ticket will utter the first irreperable gaffe?

Voided

Market voided. Not clear enough options to settle. Please re-submit with clearer background and options for no gaffes occur.

Background:

This historic election means that "mud and brick" slinging business as usual campagining is over. Or is it.

Which camp will make the first "REAL" offensive statement - McCain/ Palin or Obama/Biden?

Category Editor notation
This market is asking which campaign will make a gaffe big enough to where it is considered the reason they lost the election. So an example would be if McCain was to say something racist and after election, pundits were to say that was the gaffe that really cost him the election. It is very possible that neither campaign says anything, and this market would just be voided after the election.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

McCain/Palin
34%
Obama/Biden
66%
Voided Thu 11th Sep 7:06pm PDT

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 3:59pm PST

Initial likelihoods: McCain/Palin: 50%, Obama/Biden: 50%

Action history:

Created Wed 10th Sep 11:50am PDT by duquane
Voided Thu 11th Sep 7pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Market voided. Not clear enough options to settle. Please re-submit with clearer background and options for no gaffes occur.
Voided Thu 11th Sep 7:04pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Market has too many issues to make settlement possible. Question can be re-submitted with clearer background and an option for no gaffe's made.
Voided Thu 11th Sep 7:06pm PDT by destry[Admin]: Market voided. Not clear enough options to settle. Please re-submit with clearer background and options for no gaffes occur.

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 3:59pm PST
more info...

 

Predictions (45)

45 predictions

10 weeks ago
somebody predicted McCain/Palin (H$20 at 64%)
10 weeks ago
cncvr924 predicted Obama/Biden (H$20 at 36%)
10 weeks ago
horsefeathers predicted McCain/Palin (H$50 at 64%)
10 weeks ago
frog predicted McCain/Palin (H$50 at 64%)
10 weeks ago
mattmig predicted Obama/Biden (H$20 at 36%)
more

Comments (41)

There is no such thing as a McCain/Palen ticket.
posted 10 weeks ago
Would it be a McCain/Palin ticket, perhaps???
posted 10 weeks ago
  3 destry[Admin]
I edited the option text, so it is correct now. I also edited suspend date and added notation.
posted 10 weeks ago
Would OBama Calling Palin a "Pig with lipstick" count?
posted 10 weeks ago
  5 Erik
Biden asks wheelchair-bound man to 'stand up'
http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=213&sid=1475778
posted 10 weeks ago
  6 Erik
If only John Kerry were president...
http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/10/12/edwards.stem.cell/
posted 10 weeks ago
  7 gadget666
shouldnt "neither side utters such a gaffe" be an option, instead of just voiding the question?
posted 10 weeks ago
........ no
posted 10 weeks ago
  9 emmag
This seems very subjective to me. Which pundits get to make the call???
posted 10 weeks ago
  10 Erik
Before Barack Obama chose his running mate, we urged him to pick Joe Biden on the theory that he would be the most entertaining choice. Although Biden has been overshadowed by Sarah Palin, he has not been a disappointment.
Here's his latest, from CBS News:

When telling the story of how his granddaughters had a slumber party with Barack Obama's daughters during the week of the Democratic National Convention, Biden equated it to what he says Americans want.
"I believe that's a metaphor, a metaphor for what the country is looking for. They're looking for a sleepover with people they like!"

Does that explain Bill Clinton?

James Taranto - The Wall Street Journal
posted 9 weeks ago
They're looking for a sleepover with people they like!
Huh?!?! What in the heck does that mean?! I wonder if Biden even knows what it means... how did this guy get elected in the first place?!

Maybe I'm just a crazy, but who I want to sleep with is the last thing on my mind when I vote :-)
posted 9 weeks ago
heehee... I just googled it... man bloggers are having fun with this one :-D
posted 9 weeks ago
LOL... Rush say's of this: Where do they come up with this stuff? It's the gift that keeps on giving.
posted 9 weeks ago
  14 Erik
September 10, 2008 - 1:38pm

WASHINGTON - Democratic vice presidential candidate Joe Biden found himself in an embarrassing situation during a Missouri campaign appearance Tuesday.
During a stop in Columbia, Mo., Biden was speaking before a large crowd when he decided to give special recognition to State Senator Chuck Graham.

"Chuck, stand up, let the people see you," Biden shouted.

However, Biden did not realize that Graham is confined to a wheelchair.

"Oh, God love you. What am I talking about? I'll tell you what, you're making everybody else stand up, old pal. I'll tell you what, everybody else stand up for Chuck. Stand up for Chuck!" Biden said.

Watch video of the incident: http://www.wtopnews.com/?nid=213&sid=1475778

"If we do the work that we can do in this country, the work that we will do when John Kerry is president, people like Christopher Reeve will get up out of that wheelchair and walk again." - John Edwards
posted 9 weeks ago
  15 Erik
NJ callers dialing Dems get sex chat offer instead Thu Sep 18, 12:17 AM ET

A misprint in a telephone book has led to some callers dialing a phone sex service while trying to reach a New Jersey political organization.
A listing for the Sussex County Democratic Committee in Embarq's white pages sent people to a sultry female voice inviting them to pay for sex chat.
Embarq spokesman Glenn Lewis told The New Jersey Herald of Newton that a transposition error caused the last three digits of the Democrats' phone number to be misprinted.
He said the listing has been corrected in Embarq's directory assistance database.
The organization's 800 number listed in the book's yellow pages was correct.
posted 9 weeks ago
@Erik - Who knew a little dyslexia could be so funny! I wonder if anyone will try to use that as an excuse to their spouses as they look at the phone bills.. "but Honey, I promise, I was just calling to make a donation to the DNC... I have no idea why it says XXXGirls on the phone bill."
posted 9 weeks ago
  17 Erik
Biden calls paying higher taxes a patriotic act

WASHINGTON (AP) — Democratic vice presidential candidate Joe Biden said Thursday that paying more in taxes is the patriotic thing to do...
posted 9 weeks ago
@Erik - and Televangelists calls higher donations a godly act ;-)
posted 9 weeks ago
  19 Erik
Biden Said Being A Councilman Was More Difficult Than Being A U.S. Senator. Biden: "I used to be a councilman. I left that for this job - for the Senate - you know why? Your job is harder." (Sen. Joe Biden, Remarks At Campaign Event, Maumee, OH, 9/17/08)
posted 8 weeks ago
@Erik: I like what President Washington said in his farewell address about the "patriotic" act of paying taxes:

"it is essential that you should practically bear in mind, that towards the payment of debts there must be Revenue; that to have Revenue there must be taxes; that no taxes can be devised, which are not more or less inconvenient and unpleasant"
posted 8 weeks ago
  21 Erik
Biden says ad mocking McCain is 'terrible'
http://apnews.myway.com/article/20080923/D93C985O0.html
posted 8 weeks ago
  22 Erik
Obama was interviewed by Lauer on Monday in Green Bay, Wis.
The Democrat attacked Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) for initially opposing the federal government’s intervention to save insurance giant AIG.

“I think what has been clear during this entire past 10 days is John McCain has not had clarity and a grasp on the situation,” Obama.
But Lauer pointed out that Obama’s running mate, Sen. Joe Biden (D-Del.), had initially said the same thing – on “Today,” no less.

“I think that in that situation, I think Joe should have waited, as well,” Obama said.
posted 8 weeks ago
  23 Erik
Biden: 'No coal plants here in America'
Obama has voiced support for clean coal, particularly during the Kentucky primary.
http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0908/Biden_No_coal_plants_here_in_America.html?showall
posted 8 weeks ago
  24 dieseldog
Asked about the negative tone of the campaign, and this ad in particular, during an interview broadcast Monday by the “CBS Evening News,” Obama’s running mate, Sen. Joe Biden, said he disapproved of it.

“I thought that was terrible, by the way,” Biden said.
Asked why it was done, he said: “I didn’t know we did it and if I had anything to do with it, we’d have never done it.”

Late Monday, Obama campaign spokesman Bill Burton issued a statement from Biden. In it, Biden said he “was asked about an ad I’d never seen” and was “reacting merely to press reports.”

http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/09/22/biden-mock-mccain/
posted 8 weeks ago
  25 dieseldog
opps didn't see erik already posted that...sorry.
posted 8 weeks ago
  26 Erik
From Ben Smith at The Politico:

Joe Biden's denunciation of his own campaign's ad to Katie Couric got so much attention last night that another odd note in the interview slipped by.

He was speaking about the role of the White House in a financial crisis.

"When the stock market crashed, Franklin Roosevelt got on the television and didn't just talk about the princes of greed," Biden told Couric. "He said, 'Look, here's what happened.'"

As Reason's Jesse Walker footnotes it: "And if you owned an experimental TV set in 1929, you would have seen him. And you would have said to yourself, 'Who is that guy? What happened to President Hoover?'"
posted 8 weeks ago
  27 curios
@erik i remember as a very young kid watching experimental TV in a radio shop in 1928 it was cartoon
posted 8 weeks ago
That would make you at least 80 years old. Probably more around 85. I think your full of crap.
posted 8 weeks ago
  29 curios
@dragonfangxl if you say so, don't be abusive
posted 8 weeks ago
I dont think abusive is the right word. I admit maybe i shouldnt have said it like that however i dont think that you are 85+ years old. Most people that age arnt using the internet.
posted 8 weeks ago
  31 Erik
Biden on Hezbollah
Joe Biden misspoke when he claimed that the United States and France had "kicked Hezbollah out of Lebanon." The radical Islamic fundamentalist group has run militias in Lebanon since the Israeli invasion of Lebanon in 1982, and masterminded the suicide bombing against the U.S. Marine baracks in Beirut in 1983. It enjoys the support of much of the Shiite population of southern Lebanon. As Biden mentioned, there was talk about sending a NATO-led force to southern Lebanon in 2006, but the idea was dropped after the United States and leading European countries refused to provide the necessary troops.
http://voices.washingtonpost.com/fact-checker/2008/10/vp_debate_part_ii.html
posted 6 weeks ago
  32 Erik
Under Sen. Obama's tax plan, the wealthiest Americans will "pay no more than they did under Ronald Reagan," Sen. Biden said.

Sen. Obama wants to raise the top income tax bracket to 39.6 percent. Ronald Reagan had lowered it to 28 percent.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/10/joe_biden_and_the_truth.html
posted 6 weeks ago
  33 Erik
"Article I of the Constitution defines the role of the vice president of the United States, that's the Executive Branch," Sen. Biden said, dismissing Sarah Palin's expressed intention to play a role in legislative affairs.

Article I of the Constitution defines the role of Congress, the legislative branch, and declares that "The Vice President of the United States shall be President of the Senate, but shall have no vote, unless they be equally divided." That is the only responsibility of the vice president delineated anywhere in the Constitution. Article II describes the responsibilities of the Executive Branch. The election of the vice president is mentioned in Article II, but that Article says not a word about the powers and duties of the vice president as vice president.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/printpage/?url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/10/joe_biden_and_the_truth.html
posted 6 weeks ago
  34 Erik
"We've spent less in Afghanistan in seven years than we spend in a month in Iraq," Sen. Biden said.

According to the Congressional Research Service, spending on the war in Afghanistan since 2001 has been about $172 billion. We've been spending a little less than $10 billion a month in Iraq. Sen. Biden was off by a factor of about 1,700 percent.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/printpage/?url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/10/joe_biden_and_the_truth.html
posted 6 weeks ago
  35 Erik
The greatest of these was when Sen. Biden denied Sen. Obama had said he would meet face to face with Iranian dictator Mahmoud Ahmadinejad without preconditions. Sen. Biden was present at the Democratic primary debate in South Carolina in July of last year when Sen. Obama made that pledge, which he subsequently repeated several times.
posted 6 weeks ago
  36 Erik
The people who fill up at his neighborhood gas station can't pay for a full tank of gas, Sen. Biden said. Sen. Biden lives in a 7,000 square foot estate on a four acre lakefront lot in Greenville, which is described as "northern Delaware's priciest area."

Sen. Biden says things which are not true with passionate conviction.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/printpage/?url=http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/10/joe_biden_and_the_truth.html
posted 6 weeks ago
  37 Erik
"Look, all you have to do is go down Union Street with me in Wilmington or go to Katie’s Restaurant or walk into Home Depot with me where I spend a lot of time and you ask anybody in there whether or not the economic and foreign policy of this administration has made them better off in the last eight years."

It turns out that Katie's Restaurant closed down fifteen years ago. Talk radio host Curtis Sliwa of WABC dug this information up (audio here). He also got puzzled reactions from Wilmington Home Depots asking if anyone had ever sighted Biden. Think any mainstream reporter will follow up and ask him which Home Depot he frequents? Think any journalist will go to that Home Depot to confirm?

Joe Biden's 1988 presidential campaign shut down due to revelations of egregious plagiarism. He was discovered to have plagiarized in law school. He commits gaffes on a daily basis.

Biden succeeded in the debate by covering up who he really is.
Palin succeeded in the debate by conveying who she really is.

http://www.iris.org.il/blog/archives/2892-Bidens-Hangout-Closed-15-Years-Ago.html
posted 6 weeks ago
  38 Erik
uhhh...1...2...what come's next?
Joe Biden Can't Count
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bq-eeWow_WU
posted 5 weeks ago
If you have a few minutes and want a good laugh, check this out!
http://www.gop.com/BidenGaffeClock/
posted 3 weeks ago
And if you really want to laugh, check out
https://www.democrats.org/page/contribute/ChangeWeNeed
posted 3 weeks ago
That is funny!
posted 3 weeks ago

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