Home Hubdub logo
 
Guest account   Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's play money, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
Home
Leaderboards
Forums
My Predictions

What will the EIA release as the price of regular gasoline in Texas on September 15,2008

Settled as Regular gas is $3.600 or greater

Settled as '$3.60 or greater' as price for regular gas in Houston was $3.692, up from $3.432 last week

Background:

What will the EIA release as the price of regular gasoline in Texas on September 15,2008

OK, we all know prices have been going down, but when you're expecting a major storm to affect your areas, prices shoot back up, sometimes dramatically. Here in Mississippi when Gustav was coming close recently, we saw prices go up 20-30¢ in one day. Looked like price gouging to many of us.

Now Ike is coming directly into the Texas coast, near the major city of Houston. How will that area of Texas react in the pricing of gasoline? How much will affect the data regarding this week's prices as released by the Energy Information Administration on Monday, September 15?

Previous results for 'regular' gasoline
8/25 $3.494
9/01 $3.516 (may have gone up for Gustav)
9/08 $3.519


http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_gnd_dcus_stx_w.htm


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source or on the EIA website.
http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_gnd_dcus_stx_w.htm

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

Regular gas is $3.449 or lower
2%
Regular gas is $3.450 to $3.499
3%
Regular gas is $3.500 to $3.549
4%
Regular gas is $3.550 to $3.599
3%
Regular gas is $3.600 or greater
88%
Activity: H$19,221
Settled as Regular gas is $3.600 or greater on Tue 16th Sep 8:10am PDT

Suspend date: Mon 15th Sep 5:45am PDT Settlement date: Tue 16th Sep 8:10am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 15th Sep 5:45am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Regular gas is $3.449 or lower: 5%, Regular gas is $3.450 to $3.499 : 20%, Regular gas is $3.500 to $3.549: 35%, Regular gas is $3.550 to $3.599: 25%, Regular gas is $3.600 or greater: 15%

Action history:

Created Thu 11th Sep 10:04am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]
Suspended Mon 15th Sep 5:45am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Mon 15th Sep 5:03pm PDT by paul444: http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_gnd_dcus_stx_w.htm
Settlement requested Tue 16th Sep 5:02am PDT by sharon91977: http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_gnd_a_epm0_pte_cpgal_w.htm

375.7 as of 09/15/08
Settled as 'Regular gas is $3.600 or greater' Tue 16th Sep 8:10am PDT by bayoubear[Admin]: Settled as '$3.60 or greater' as price for regular gas in Houston was $3.692, up from $3.432 last week

Suspend date: Mon 15th Sep 5:45am PDT Settlement date: Tue 16th Sep 8:10am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 15th Sep 5:45am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (68)

68 predictions

9 weeks ago
jhouseholder predicted Regular gas is $3.600 or greater (H$20 at 88%)
9 weeks ago
leeangelo predicted Regular gas is $3.600 or greater (H$50 at 88%)
9 weeks ago
infernalmachine[Admin] predicted Regular gas is $3.600 or greater (H$2,000 at 86%)
9 weeks ago
missippy predicted Regular gas is $3.600 or greater (H$40 at 83%)
9 weeks ago
paul444 predicted Regular gas is $3.600 or greater (H$1,250 at 80%)
more

Comments (10)

  1 bayoubear[Admin]
Looks like Ike plowed right into Houston...lots of refineries already were shut down...there WILL be price increases in the region, that's no doubt...but how much and how will the price shift at the end of the week affect the price reported on Monday for Texas...and for that matter for the nation as a whole?

Oil drops under $100 and we still see the price of gas going up!
posted 9 weeks ago
Hi Bayoubear, hope you stayed dry.

Just wanted to say that in your background information you show the price of regular gasoline on 9/8/2008 to be $3.496. That was the price of "All Grades-Reformulated Areas".

The price of "Regular" was already at $351.9 for the state of Texas. Just wanted to mention it.
You be safe and keep the DJIA's coming!
posted 9 weeks ago
  3 bayoubear[Admin]
Thanks, made the correction in the background...grabbed the wrong number....

Just put some of that go-juice in my car...what was $3.35 before Gustav 2 weeks ago is now $3.75...went up about 20¢ since Thursday...

I know the gas companies have to make a profit (we all know how low their profits have been so far this year) but isn't this ridiculous...prices jumping immediately on speculation and when the worst fears turn out not to be true, they never come down as fast, if at all...

And it's not just how it affects us at the pump for our own vehicles...all the goods we purchase, and the services provided by schools and cities are affected by the price of gasoline, a price so often not associated with the normal issues of supply and demand, but as a result of speculation...

D*mn the speculators!!
posted 9 weeks ago
  4 coolkraft
paid 3.71 last week....3.79 yesterday down here in south florida where the gasoline is priced like gold
posted 9 weeks ago
Just filled up today, Saturday, and it was $3.34 in Buckeye. That's about 30 miles west of Phoenix. Betcha it's $3.50 by Tuesday.
posted 9 weeks ago
  6 bayoubear[Admin]
Just prior to Gustav coming in near us...gas had dropped to $3.34 . . . as of today, the cheapest I can find is $3.69+....Gustav kicked it up around here, and just as it began to drop back down, along comes Ike! 35¢ hike in price while oil drops about $20 a barrel....
posted 9 weeks ago
  7 pixelpaws
The AAA is currently reporting $3.570 for regular. I doubt it'll fall below $3.55 by morning but I also doubt it'll break $3.60

http://www.fuelgaugereport.com/TXmetro.asp
posted 9 weeks ago
  8 pixelpaws
Whoops, disregard my last comment; I somehow thought this was just for the city of Houston, not the state average. The state average is $3.645
posted 9 weeks ago
log on to this and you can track gas prices anywhere in the country.

http://www.sandiegogasprices.com/retail_price_chart.aspx
posted 9 weeks ago
  10 bayoubear[Admin]
But remember...the question settles on the the prices reported by the EIA (Energy Information Administration), not AAA or any other group....they may give you some guidance in making your wagers, but not in the case of the settlement...

Plus...this question is for their reporting for the state of Texas...there is another set of data they will release regarding the city of Houston
posted 9 weeks ago

Please log in or join to add a comment

What is Hubdub?

Hubdub makes news more exciting by letting you stake virtual dollars on the outcomes of real running news stories.

Join now   or   learn more