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Will the Howard Stern Show allow Natalie Dylan to auction off her virginity?

Voided

After considerable wringing of hands I've decided to void this market. At the time the market was created, Howard had already made clear that he was having nothing to do with the actual auction ( http://www.howardstern.com/rundown.hs?d=1220932800 ) so the intrepertaion that this market was only based on whether he would allow the auction to place on his show has bad initial odds. Conversely, as some have claimed if its just that Howard is somehow "allowing" her to auction herself off somewhere else.. Exactly what is his ability to stop it? Again, any initial odds greater than .5% make no sense to me. Either way, it appears that most bettors were predicting my definition of the question, rather than the actual news, which is usually a good indication of a question needing to be voided. . Sorry to all!

Background:

A 22-year-old college grad looking to pay off her student loans will auction off her virginity at Nevada's infamous Moonlight Bunny Ranch, Us magazine reported.

The Sacramento State grad, who uses the pseudonym "Natalie Dylan," told "The Insider" she is "ready for the controversy."

"I don't think auctioning my virginity will solve all my problems, but it will create some financial stability," she said, according to the magazine.

Dylan was turned down by eBay, and shock-jock Howard Stern denied reports he has a hand in the stunt.

"Through this process I'm not just looking for the highest bidder," she said, Us magazine reported. "I'm looking for someone who is a genuine, overall nice person."

Dylan said she is willing to undergo a medical exam, and took a polygraph to prove she is a virgin. This market refers to sale which would take place on the Howard Stern Show. If the sale does not occur there or has nothing to do with Stern the market settles as no.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Voided

Yes
25%
No
75%
Voided Sat 1st Nov 9:55am PDT

Suspend date: Sun 12th Oct 12:59am PDT

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 25%

Action history:

Created Thu 11th Sep 12:09pm PDT by jhouseholder
Clarified Fri 12th Sep 6:22am PDT by ryanj[Admin]: This market refers to sale which would take place on the Howard Stern Show. If the sale does not occur there or has nothing to do with Stern the market settles as no.
Suspended Sun 12th Oct 12:59am PDT : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Tue 14th Oct 1:52pm PDT by robbuerkle: when exactly will this be settled?
Settlement requested Mon 27th Oct 4:49am PDT by atrane: Can settle with this? Looks like the Bunny Ranch is taking phone call bids - no mention of Howard Stern http://www.theimproper.com/Template_Article.aspx?IssueId=7&ArticleId=2530
Voided Sat 1st Nov 9:55am PDT by jenniandboys[Admin]: After considerable wringing of hands I've decided to void this market. At the time the market was created, Howard had already made clear that he was having nothing to do with the actual auction ( http://www.howardstern.com/rundown.hs?d=1220932800 ) so the intrepertaion that this market was only based on whether he would allow the auction to place on his show has bad initial odds. Conversely, as some have claimed if its just that Howard is somehow "allowing" her to auction herself off somewhere else.. Exactly what is his ability to stop it? Again, any initial odds greater than .5% make no sense to me. Either way, it appears that most bettors were predicting my definition of the question, rather than the actual news, which is usually a good indication of a question needing to be voided. . Sorry to all!

Suspend date: Sun 12th Oct 12:59am PDT
more info...

 

Predictions (122)

122 predictions

5 weeks ago
mastergert predicted Yes (H$20 at 22%)
5 weeks ago
hubdubmaster predicted No (H$598 at 77%)
5 weeks ago
scotty45 predicted No (H$124 at 77%)
5 weeks ago
aland predicted No (H$200 at 77%)
5 weeks ago
shorty_7123 predicted No (H$10 at 77%)
more

Comments (15)

  1 dieseldog
howard will buy it for sure :O)
posted 10 weeks ago
I'd like to see a question asking the "going price" but since I'm not a prostitute I have NO idea what the selling rate is for virginity!!! Anyone have ideas on starting price for auction?
posted 10 weeks ago
  3 swilson[Power User]
oooo, I have dibs on creating the "how much $" question!....
posted 10 weeks ago
  4 randburg
I hope everyone read this question CAREFULLY. Will the Howard Stern show ALLOW her to auction off...The key word is ALLOW...If they show agrees to ALLOW her to do it, the question settles as YES. Whether she accepts or declines or actually goes through with the auction is NOT the question...
posted 9 weeks ago
  5 randburg
Should be: "If the show allows..."
posted 9 weeks ago
A 22-year-old US woman is publicly auctioning her virginity to pay for her college education...
The woman, who has earned a bachelor degree in women's studies and now wants to start a master's degree in marriage and family therapy...

Anyone else wondering what her GPA is?
posted 9 weeks ago
Not high enough to qualify for financial aid is my guess. This is disgusting. The fact that our society allows these things to happen is desgusting. If you ask me i think that this whole auction idea should be shut down, give the girl a ticket for prostitution or something! And shove her back in her school. She wants money? Try a part time job, or try studying so you can qualify for some sort of financial aid. This shouldn't even be an option for her.
posted 9 weeks ago
  9 pjjen
i bet there are alot of woman right now complain about her because they wasted their virginity for a crush on a high school jerk and now they are fat and ugly.
posted 9 weeks ago
  10 pjjen
is better to make money on your virginity than give it for free and there is not much woman are virgin in the age of 22.y.o if you know someone still virgin age of 22.y.o could be ugly and fat woman
posted 9 weeks ago
Ouchy mama... that's harsh... most of those women you consider fat and ugly have husbands that love them very much.
posted 9 weeks ago
  12 bout3fitty
Back to randberg's clarification of "allow" & I guess is @ jhouseholder as well - How does this settle? It kind of seems to infer that she auctions it on Stern's show but maybe not. Certainly, it seems Stern would not attempt to step in the way of something like this... So, what are we looking at?
posted 9 weeks ago
  13 bout3fitty
NM - I'm blind. "This market refers to sale which would take place on the Howard Stern Show."
posted 9 weeks ago
  14 robbuerkle
Hello? Anyone know why this isn't being settled?
posted 4 weeks ago
Do you have a link to a legitimate source verifying a yes or no settlement?
posted 4 weeks ago

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