
Who will get this year's Nobel Prize in Literature?
French novelist Jean-Marie Gustave Le Clézio was named the winner this morning and cited by the committee as an "author of new departures, poetic adventure and sensual ecstasy, explorer of a humanity beyond and below the reigning civilization." Le Clézio is responsible for more than 40 books, only 12 of which have been translated into English.
http://nymag.com/daily/entertainment/2008/10/jean-marie_gustave_le_clzio_wi.html
Background:>
The very first Nobel Prize in Literature was awarded in 1901 to the French poet and philosopher Sully Prudhomme, who in his poetry showed the "rare combination of the qualities of both heart and intellect". Over the years, the Nobel Prize in Literature has distinguished the works of authors from many different languages and cultural backgrounds. The prize has been awarded to unknown masters as well as authors acclaimed worldwide.
Nominations for 2008
197 names were submitted for the 2008 Nobel Peace Prize, 33 of which are organizations. The Nobel Committees in Physics, Chemistry, Physiology or Medicine, Literature and the Prize Committee for Economics each usually receives 250-300 names every year. The names of the nominees cannot be revealed until 50 years later.
Announcements of the 2008 Nobel Prizes
According to tradition, the Swedish Academy will set the date for its announcement of the Nobel Prize in Literature later.
http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/literature/
http://www.nobelprize.org/prize_announcements/
http://www.nobelprize.org/nomination/nomination_facts.html
If the prize is awarded to "person X and his staff", this question settles "individual". If the prize is awarded to "the university of X, with director Y", this question settles "organization". I did not make an advantage in the starting odds for males, although nowadays reality sadly still speaks a different language.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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a male individual |
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a female individual |
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multiple male individuals |
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multiple female individuals |
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multiple male and female individuals |
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other (eg: organization, institute) |
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Suspend date: Wed 8th Oct 4am PDT Settlement date: Thu 9th Oct 2:40pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 8th Oct 4am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: a male individual: 45%, a female individual: 45%, multiple male individuals: 3%, multiple female individuals: 3%, multiple male and female individuals: 3%, other (eg: organization, institute): 1%
Action history:
http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/literature/laureates/2008/
http://nymag.com/daily/entertainment/2008/10/jean-marie_gustave_le_clzio_wi.html
Suspend date: Wed 8th Oct 4am PDT Settlement date: Thu 9th Oct 2:40pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 8th Oct 4am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (73)
73 predictions
Comments (2)
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