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Who will get this year's Nobel Peace Prize?
Finland's ex-president Martti Ahtisaari won the Nobel Peace Prize on Friday for his efforts to build a lasting peace from Africa and Asia to Europe and the Middle East.
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5gxlV8ahufobsVjfRoiUlk983FJIgD93NMBBG0
Background:
Henry Dunant, founder of the Red Cross, shared the first Nobel Peace Prize in 1901 with Frédéric Passy, a leading international pacifist of the time. In addition to humanitarian efforts and peace movements, the Nobel Peace Prize has been awarded for work in a wide range of fields including advocacy of human rights, mediation of international conflicts, and arms control.
Nominations for 2008
197 names were submitted for the 2008 Nobel Peace Prize, 33 of which are organizations. The Nobel Committees in Physics, Chemistry, Physiology or Medicine, Literature and the Prize Committee for Economics each usually receives 250-300 names every year. The names of the nominees cannot be revealed until 50 years later.
Announcements of the 2008 Nobel Prizes
Peace - Friday, October 10, 11:00 a.m. CET
http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/peace/
http://www.nobelprize.org/prize_announcements/
http://www.nobelprize.org/nomination/nomination_facts.html
If the prize is awarded to "person X and his staff", this question settles "individual". If the prize is awarded to "the university of X, with director Y", this question settles "organization". I did not make an advantage in the starting odds for males, although nowadays reality sadly still speaks a different language.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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a male individual |
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a female individual |
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multiple male individuals |
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multiple female individuals |
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multiple male and female individuals |
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other (eg: organization, institute) |
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Suspend date: Thu 9th Oct 2am PDT Settlement date: Fri 10th Oct 2:24pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 9th Oct 2am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: a male individual: 35%, a female individual: 35%, multiple male individuals: 5%, multiple female individuals: 5%, multiple male and female individuals: 5%, other (eg: organization, institute): 15%
Action history:
kruijs 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: was: "2008-10-10 02:00:00" 
horatiomonty: It's Martti Ahtisaari, i.e. a male individual. Bugger. tisha: Finland's ex-president Martti Ahtisaari won the Nobel Peace Prize on Friday for his efforts to build a lasting peace from Africa and Asia to Europe and the Middle East.
http://ap.google.com/article/ALeqM5gxlV8ahufobsVjfRoiUlk983FJIgD93NMBBG0
Suspend date: Thu 9th Oct 2am PDT Settlement date: Fri 10th Oct 2:24pm PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 9th Oct 2am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (108)
108 predictions
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