
Who will get this year's Nobel Prize in Chemistry?
Two American and one Japanese male scientists have won this year's Nobel Prize for Chemistry, for their discovery of a green fluorescent protein that has become a key tool in bioscience.
http://uk.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUKTRE4973TM20081008
Background:>
In 1901 the very first Nobel Prize in Chemistry was awarded to Jacobus H. van 't Hoff for his work on rates of reaction, chemical equilibrium, and osmotic pressure. In more recent years, the Chemistry Nobel Laureates have increased our understanding of chemical processes and their molecular basis, and have also contributed to many of the technological advancements we enjoy today.
Nominations for 2008
197 names were submitted for the 2008 Nobel Peace Prize, 33 of which are organizations. The Nobel Committees in Physics, Chemistry, Physiology or Medicine, Literature and the Prize Committee for Economics each usually receives 250-300 names every year. The names of the nominees cannot be revealed until 50 years later.
Announcements of the 2008 Nobel Prizes
Chemistry - Wednesday, October 8, 11:45 a.m. CET at the earliest
http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/chemistry/
http://www.nobelprize.org/prize_announcements/
http://www.nobelprize.org/nomination/nomination_facts.html
If the prize is awarded to "person X and his staff", this question settles "individual". If the prize is awarded to "the university of X, with director Y", this question settles "organization". I did not make an advantage in the starting odds for males, although nowadays reality sadly still speaks a different language.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Settled
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a male individual |
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a female individual |
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multiple male individuals |
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multiple female individuals |
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multiple male and female individuals |
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other (eg: organization, institute) |
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Suspend date: Wed 8th Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 8th Oct 3:10am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 8th Oct 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: a male individual: 20%, a female individual: 20%, multiple male individuals: 10%, multiple female individuals: 10%, multiple male and female individuals: 20%, other (eg: organization, institute): 20%
Action history:
http://uk.reuters.com/article/worldNews/idUKTRE4973TM20081008
Suspend date: Wed 8th Oct 12:59am PDT Settlement date: Wed 8th Oct 3:10am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 8th Oct 12:59am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...
Predictions (54)
54 predictions
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