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Created Thu 11th Sep 2008 3:34pm PST by tarpash

Will Kim Jong-Il be the leader of North Korea on Feb 1, 2009?

Settled as Yes

Kim Jong II is still the leader of North Korea.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-02/01/content_10744604.htm

Background:

Background: According to the CIA World Factbook, the "leader", or "highest administrative authority", of North Korea is the Chairman of the National Defense Commission, a position Kim Jong-Il has had since 1994. Will Kim Jong-Il still serve in this position on Feb 1, 2009?

If he ceases to serve as leader of North Korea any time before then, the market will be settled. There will be no need to wait until Feb 2009.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source, or according to the CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/kn.html

 
Forecast history %
Yes
98%
No
2%
Settled as Yes on Sun 1st Feb 2:07am PST

Suspend date: Sat 31st Jan 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 1st Feb 2:07am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st Jan 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%

Action history:

Created Thu 11th Sep 2008 3:34pm PST by tarpash
Suspended Sat 31st Jan 8:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settled as 'Yes' Sun 1st Feb 2:07am PST by tisha[Admin]: Kim Jong II is still the leader of North Korea.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-02/01/content_10744604.htm

Suspend date: Sat 31st Jan 8:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sun 1st Feb 2:07am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Sat 31st Jan 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (183)

40 weeks ago
donnamil predicted Yes (H$100 at 98%)
40 weeks ago
lardog predicted Yes (H$96 at 98%)
40 weeks ago
thepeoplegeekllc predicted Yes (H$100 at 98%)
40 weeks ago
thepeoplegeekllc predicted Yes (H$100 at 98%)
40 weeks ago
interviewer predicted Yes (H$104 at 98%)

Comments (3)

  1 carnacthemagnificent
Does it count as "yes" if he dies, is stuffed, and is propped up at state functions?
posted 1 year ago
  2 thepeoplegeekllc
I think the little fella cashed in his ticket a long time ago. They buried him in a shoe box and repaced him with the second ugliest little man in Asia. That is the story I heard.
posted 1 year ago
  3 gadget666
is that pic taken from "team america"? btw, mr ill is living proof of the existence of "short man syndrome"
posted 1 year ago

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