Created Thu 11th Sep 4:34pm PDT by 
tarpash
All questions » World » Asia » tarpash 
Will Kim Jong-Il be the leader of North Korea on Feb 1, 2009?
Current forecast: 68% chance 
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 68% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)
According to the CIA World Factbook, the "leader", or "highest administrative authority", of North Korea is the Chairman of the National Defense Commission, a position Kim Jong-Il has had since 1994. Will Kim Jong-Il still serve in this position on Feb 1, 2009?
If he ceases to serve as leader of North Korea any time before then, the market will be settled. There will be no need to wait until Feb 2009.
If he ceases to serve as leader of North Korea any time before then, the market will be settled. There will be no need to wait until Feb 2009.
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source, or according to the CIA World Factbook: https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/kn.html
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Activity: H$32,312
Question suspends in 10 weeks
Suspend date: Sat 31st Jan 2009 8:59pm PST (10 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 75%
Action history:
Created Thu 11th Sep 4:34pm PDT by tarpash
tarpash
Suspend date: Sat 31st Jan 2009 8:59pm PST (10 weeks to go)
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Get widget!Predictions (81)
81 predictions
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bigken1Comments (3)
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This news is selected automatically based on the question, its background, options and tags
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score: 10
Donga.com 4 days ago
Leader. Newly emerging officials involved with ?photo politics? and the Stalinist nation?s succession plan are rising. When the (North) Korea Central News Agency reported that Kim watched a soccer game 51 days after visiting a military unit Aug.
score: 10
Nelson Mail, New Zealand 4 days ago
In a fitting finale that went to extra time, Korea DPR beat the United States 2-1 to become the first ever Under-17 Women's Football World Cup ...
score: 10
The Star, Malaysia 4 days ago
North Korea beat the United States 2-1 in extra time to win the FIFA Under-17 Women's World Cup yesterday.. . The United States took the lead after...
score: 10
Nelson Mail, New Zealand 5 days ago
In a fitting finale that went to extra time, Korea DPR beat the United States 2-1 to become the first ever Under-17 Women's Football World Cup ...
score: 10
FOX Sports 5 days ago
North Korea beat the United States 2-1 in extra time to win the FIFA under-17 Women's World Cup on Sunday.. . The United States took the lead after...
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