Created Thu 11th Sep 5:49pm PDT by 
onedave![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
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Which Alaskan volcano will next be the subject of a volcano watch or warning?
Current forecast: Other Alaskan volcano (59% chance
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Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Other Alaskan volcano with a probability of 59% (unchanged in last 1 day)
Alaska has approximately 100 volcanoes. Five of them have erupted since 2000.
Currently, the Alaska Volcano Observatory lists three volcanoes as being at an advisory level. All three volcanoes were under a watch condition as recently as August 25, but have been downgraded to an advisory level since then. Kasatochi, Okmok and Cleveland Volcanoes "exhibit signs of elevated unrest above known background level." A watch level signifies a "hightened or escalating unrest." A warning signifies that a volcanic eruption is "imminent, underway or suspected."
This market will be settled using information from the Alaska Volcano Observatory (http://www.avo.alaska.edu/activity/avoreport.php?view=status).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_volcanoes_in_the_United_States_of_America
Currently, the Alaska Volcano Observatory lists three volcanoes as being at an advisory level. All three volcanoes were under a watch condition as recently as August 25, but have been downgraded to an advisory level since then. Kasatochi, Okmok and Cleveland Volcanoes "exhibit signs of elevated unrest above known background level." A watch level signifies a "hightened or escalating unrest." A warning signifies that a volcanic eruption is "imminent, underway or suspected."
This market will be settled using information from the Alaska Volcano Observatory (http://www.avo.alaska.edu/activity/avoreport.php?view=status).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_volcanoes_in_the_United_States_of_America
Settlement details:
As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Make your prediction!
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Cleveland |
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Kasatochi |
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Okmok |
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Other Alaskan volcano |
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Activity: H$4,456
Question suspends in 15 weeks
Suspend date: Wed 11th Mar 2009 4:59pm PDT (15 weeks to go)
Initial likelihoods: Cleveland: 25%, Kasatochi: 25%, Okmok: 25%, Other Alaskan volcano: 25%
Action history:
Created Thu 11th Sep 5:49pm PDT by onedave
onedave
Suspended Sat 11th Oct 4:59pm PDT : Suspend date reached
Changed Suspend date Sun 12th Oct 7:13pm PDT by 
tisha![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin")
: was: "2008-10-11 15:59:00"
tisha: was: "2008-10-11 15:59:00"
Unsuspended Sun 12th Oct 7:14pm PDT by tisha: No Alaskan volcano has yet been upgraded to watch or warning since the creation date. Suspend date has been extended.
tisha: No Alaskan volcano has yet been upgraded to watch or warning since the creation date. Suspend date has been extended.
Suspended last Sunday 4:02pm PST by tisha: checking sources
tisha: checking sources
Unsuspended last Sunday 4:07pm PST by tisha: No watch or warning currently given, only advisories
tisha: No watch or warning currently given, only advisories
Suspend date: Wed 11th Mar 2009 4:59pm PDT (15 weeks to go)
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score: 10
Washington Post 1 hour ago
southwest Colombia, prompting a red alert for more activity. President Alvaro Uribe flew with disaster officials over the volcano Friday, and ordered the air force to create an 'air bridge' to supply cut off towns along the Rio Paez
score: 10
News24.com 4 hours ago
Bogota - Colombia's highest active volcano erupted late on Thursday, forcing the evacuation of hundreds of nearby settlers, the government and the Institute of Geology and Mining (Ingeominas) said. 'There is an eruption that is showing
score: 10
National Geographic 17 hours ago
handheld infrared camera known as the FLIR (Forward Looking Infrared Radiometer) to capture color images of the Bezymianny volcano's lava dome and ash deposits on its flank, as well as record their surface temperatures. 'Bezymianny is remarkably
score: 10
BBC 2 days ago
of studying volcanoes. Dr Andrew McGonigle uses a helicopter with a specialist computer attached to fly over the volcano. The information gathered helps experts predict when the volcano might erupt, so they can warn people to get away in time. Pictures
score: 10
BBC 3 days ago
but up until now the only way to make that measurement has involved someone climbing up to a volcano and using an instrument from the crater's edge,' he added. 'What we are trying to do is enable the same measurement of carbon dioxide emissions, but
New in Science » Natural Disasters
http://au.news.yahoo.com/a/-/technology/5069771
... and they're not talking about the old trick of putting bicarb in the toilet bowl and vinegar in the cistern ;-)
http://www.homernews.com/stories/110708/news_vol.shtml
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