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Created Fri 12th Sep 1:52am PDT by tarpash
All questions » Politics » US Politics » 

What will be the results of the 2008 U.S. gubernatorial elections?

Settled as 1 state flips parties

Missouri.

Background:

Summary of 2008 gubernatorial races: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_gubernatorial_elections,_2008.

There are 11 states holding gubernatorial elections in 2008. 6 of those seats are held by Democrats, and 5 are held by Republicans. 3 are open seats. Missouri and Washington are extrememly competitive.

How many of these states will "flip" into opposing party control? A seat has flipped if a Republican wins a seat previously held by a Democrat, or vice-versa.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Settled

 No governor party switching
23%
1 state flips parties
40%
2 states flip parties
31%
3+ states flip parties
6%
Activity: H$2,276
Settled as 1 state flips parties on Thu 6th Nov 7:52am PST

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 8:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 6th Nov 7:52am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: No governor party switching: 30%, 1 state flips parties: 35%, 2 states flip parties: 30%, 3+ states flip parties: 5%

Action history:

Created Fri 12th Sep 1:52am PDT by tarpash
Suspended Mon 3rd Nov 8:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 6th Nov 7:08am PST by joaoxxx: Only Missouri switched party: http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/results/main.results/#val=G
Settled as '1 state flips parties' Thu 6th Nov 7:52am PST by destry[Admin]: Missouri.

Suspend date: Mon 3rd Nov 8:59pm PST Settlement date: Thu 6th Nov 7:52am PSTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Mon 3rd Nov 8:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
more info...

 

Predictions (20)

20 predictions

2 weeks ago
lcsnor predicted 1 state flips parties (H$75 at 40%)
2 weeks ago
jojo92548 predicted 2 states flip parties (H$50 at 30%)
2 weeks ago
morgie predicted No governor party switching (H$20 at 24%)
2 weeks ago
vidal1 predicted 2 states flip parties (H$50 at 29%)
2 weeks ago
joaoxxx predicted 1 state flips parties (H$300 at 39%)
more

Comments (2)

  1 conspiracy2riot
BOTH Missouri AND New Hampshire flipped from Republican to Democrat.

That makes the # 2.....Please revise this, refund my $ and let me have my big ole 3 bucks winnings!

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aclzLFCvcj5k&refer=home

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/05/us/politics/05govs.html?ref=us
posted 2 weeks ago
  2 tarpash
@conspiracy: Missouri was the only state that flipped in terms of governors. NH reelected incumbent Democratic Governor John Lynch. I think you may be confused about NH flipping in the Senate race, as Sununu lost reelection.
posted 2 weeks ago

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