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For what price will Natalie Dylan's virginity be sold?

Current forecast: Will not be sold before the settlement date. (66% chance1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Will not be sold before the settlement date. with a probability of 66% (up 1% in last 1 day)

A 22 year old student from San Diego, California, who is using the pseudonym Natalie Dylan, says she intends to auction her virginity. Dennis Hof says the Moonlite Bunny Ranch, where the auction is supposed to take place, has already received offers for around $250,000.

Natalie says she has no moral dilemma with her decision and found it "empowering".

Natalie's mother, a fourth grade teacher, doesn't appear to be a fan of the idea. Natalie's sister, who is paying off her own school loans by working at Hof's Moonlite Bunny Ranch in Nevada, is a likely supporter.

Another supporter, Dennis Hof (surprise), told reporters, "I think it's a tremendous idea. Why lose it to some guy in the backseat of a Toyota when you can pay for you education?".

"I don't think auctioning my virginity will solve all my problems," she told celebrity television show The Insider on Wednesday. "But it will create some financial stability. I'm ready for the controversy, I know it will come along. I'm ready to do this."

"We live in a capitalist society. Why shouldn't I be allowed to capitalize on my virginity?" she added.

And Natalie, if you're listening, the odds set don't reflect what we think is your value - hey, good luck!


Settlement details: As adequately proved to have occurred.

Assuming only one of two things will happen - either she won't sell her virginity or she will, the options are set forth as follows and should not have no subjectivity.

Her virginity will not be sold between now and the settlement date. Either because it no longer exists, it's already been sold, she decides she doesn't want to, she is unable to or it does not occur prior to a date which we will have to establish because no one wants to sit here and wait for months or years for this to happen.
Her virginity will be sold for less than $50,000.
Her virginity will be sold for between $50,000 and $99,999.99.
Her virginity will be sold for between $100,000 and $249,999.99.
Her virginity will be sold for between $250,000 and $499,999.99.
Her virginity will be sold for between $500,000 and $749,999.99.
Her virginity will be sold for $750,000 or more.

Oh, and because this would be such a great gift idea (hint, hint), settlement date is set for Christmas Eve. If she schedules an auction to occur after that date, settlement date should be extended to that date. If she schedules but cancels or reschedules, settlement should not occur after February 28th, 2009.

 
Forecast history, %
   Zoom in

Make your prediction!

Will not be sold before the settlement date.
66%
Will be sold for less than $50,000.
10%
Will be sold for between $50,000 and $99,999.99.
5%
Will be sold for between $100,000 and $249,999.99.
4%
Will be sold for between $250,000 and $499,999.99.
3%
Will be sold for between $500,000 and $749,999.99.
5%
Will be sold for $750,000 or more.
8%
Activity: H$26,207
Question suspends in 4 weeks

Suspend date: Wed 24th Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: Will not be sold before the settlement date.: 10%, Will be sold for less than $50,000.: 5%, Will be sold for between $50,000 and $99,999.99.: 10%, Will be sold for between $100,000 and $249,999.99.: 20%, Will be sold for between $250,000 and $499,999.99.: 30%, Will be sold for between $500,000 and $749,999.99.: 20%, Will be sold for $750,000 or more.: 5%

Action history:

Created Fri 12th Sep 10:17am PDT by swilson[Power User]

Suspend date: Wed 24th Dec 11:59pm PST (4 weeks to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (92)

92 predictions

1 week ago
thisson predicted Will be sold for $750,000 or more. (H$80 at 8%)
1 week ago
monsti88 predicted Will not be sold before the settlement date. (H$20 at 64%)
1 week ago
paulcroft predicted Will not be sold before the settlement date. (H$1,000 at 60%)
1 week ago
mrperfkt[Admin] predicted Will not be sold before the settlement date. (H$1,000 at 52%)
1 week ago
nightwish predicted Will not be sold before the settlement date. (H$100 at 46%)
more

Comments (18)

WHAT?!?!?!?!



This story doesn't interest me much, so I've only seen the headlines... but I would have NEVER guessed anyone would pay that much $$$... I thought this would cost several thousand, top $10K on a good day... but $250,000 is sheer lunacy!!!
posted 9 weeks ago
  2 cognos[Power User]
As of this comment, >$750k has 49%.

wooooow!

how much you biddin' swilson? skipper? hehe
posted 9 weeks ago
  3 swilson[Power User]
Cognos, I never bid on my own markets.
posted 9 weeks ago
I'm guessing that "Screech" from Saved By The Bell will be taking up another collection for this purpose.
posted 9 weeks ago
  5 pjjen
this is really cool i agree to her idea because theirs to many gurls lose their virginity in not make anything. she old enough als no need to be shame of what she's doing
posted 9 weeks ago
  6 rogerkni
If other bunny ranches get the idea that this would be a good publicity stunt, there could be several auctions like this one within a month, which would drive down offers on this auction. I doubt this sale will be transacted at over $50,000. (Hmm--how will it be verified that this isn't just a "straw sale" (for publicity value)?)
posted 9 weeks ago
  7 gadget666
I bet that if this goes through, and her virginity is sold for a decent sum, this will soon become commonplace, or at least nothing out of the ordinary.
posted 8 weeks ago
  8 rogerkni
Hmm... If so, maybe we'll get to the point where they'll be auctioned on eBay.
posted 7 weeks ago
  9 40oz
You know anyone paying at least a quarter mil for this chick will expect the hardest plowing of his life. Natalie - prepare to be destroyed.
hahaha
posted 6 weeks ago
  10 curios
I wonder if she will moan in pleasure or delight,if and when it happens?
posted 1 week ago
I dont care if she is a virgin, the fact that she will exchange sex for money makes her a communist!
posted 1 week ago
  12 curios
you exchanged money for mac and that woman! what does that make you, and stop following me around chuckles
posted 1 week ago
....???? I dont understand your accent. Try that again in REAL english.
posted 1 week ago
  14 curios
!!!!!!!!!!!!! you wagered on mac didnt you? and it is my name for you (chuckles)
posted 1 week ago
....... Once more i dont understand your accent! Lets try a language we both speak... like mandurin! 现在您说什么?
posted 1 week ago
  16 nightwish
@dragonfanglx: your obsession with labeling everything you disagree with with communism is amusing, if tragic
posted 1 week ago
I call them as i see them.
posted 1 week ago
  18 thisson
How do we know that she is, in fact, a virgin? In fact, how do we know this is even the first time she has offered to sell her virginity? Caveat Emptor, I guess!
posted 1 week ago

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