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Created Fri 12th Sep 2008 9:26am PST by phellen

Who will be leading in the Reuters Zogby poll after all three upcoming presidential debates?

Settled as Barack Obama

Background: The First of three presidential debates will be held on Friday, September 26, 2008 at the University of Mississippi's Gertrude C. Ford Center in Oxford, Mississippi[4], moderated by Jim Lehrer, executive editor and anchor of The NewsHour on PBS. This debate will focus on foreign policy and national security.[5]
The second debate will be held on Tuesday, October 7, 2008 at Belmont University's Curb Event Center in Nashville, Tennessee[6], moderated by Tom Brokaw, special correspondent (and former evening news anchor) for NBC News. This debate will have a town-hall meeting format.
Finally the last debate will be on Wednesday, October 15, 2008 at Hofstra University's Hofstra Arena in Hempstead, New York[7], moderated by Bob Schieffer, CBS News chief Washington correspondent and host of Face the Nation. This debate will focus on domestic and economic policy. Who will be leading after the final debate in the first poll released by Reuters/Zogby.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Barack Obama
96%
John McCain
4%
Settled as Barack Obama on Fri 17th Oct 2008 12:52pm PST

Suspend date: Wed 15th Oct 2008 11am PST
Settlement date: Fri 17th Oct 2008 12:52pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 15th Oct 2008 11am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Barack Obama: 50%, John McCain : 50%

Action history:

Created Fri 12th Sep 2008 9:26am PST by phellen
Suspended Wed 15th Oct 2008 11am PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Thu 16th Oct 2008 5:48am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Obama
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1590
Settlement requested Fri 17th Oct 2008 4:22am PST by jenniandboys[Admin]: Still Obama
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/us_obama_49_mccain_44_zogby_10_1.php
Settled as 'Barack Obama' Fri 17th Oct 2008 12:52pm PST by destry[Admin]

Suspend date: Wed 15th Oct 2008 11am PST
Settlement date: Fri 17th Oct 2008 12:52pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 15th Oct 2008 11am PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details

 

Predictions (123)

1 year ago
bency predicted Barack Obama (H$300 at 96%)
1 year ago
subreal predicted John McCain (H$20 at 4%)
1 year ago
constantine predicted Barack Obama (H$600 at 96%)
1 year ago
wheeman predicted Barack Obama (H$500 at 95%)
1 year ago
leopard69 predicted Barack Obama (H$40 at 95%)

Comments (2)

  1 dragonfangxl
Wheres Ralph Nader on there? He Might steal these polls!
posted 1 year ago
  2 pixelpaws
Does the lead need to be statistically significant? Obama is up by four today but the poll has a 2.9% margin of error.
posted 1 year ago

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