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Will President Obama walk down Pennsylvania Avenue on January 20, 2009?

Current forecast: 38% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 38% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

Here are the questions built in within this question that you'll factor:

- will the next president be sworn in on the day stipulated by the Constitution as Inauguration Day?
- if so, will the weather be nice enough for a walk?
- is he a walker or a rider?

Question will be suspended on the Dec 31, 2008.


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history, %
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Make your prediction!

Yes
38%
No
62%
Activity: H$12,469
Question suspends in 5 weeks
 

Predictions (37)

37 predictions

1 day ago
axollot predicted No (H$100 at 62%)
1 day ago
kgholderman predicted Yes (H$20 at 40%)
2 days ago
ctred predicted Yes (H$620 at 39%)
2 days ago
msammy predicted No (H$20 at 62%)
2 days ago
lcsnor predicted Yes (H$40 at 38%)
more

Comments (5)

Oh yeah, I forgot. There is a slight chance Dick Cheney may settle this question by becoming the next Prez and walking down Pennsylvania Avenue on Jan 20! What are the odds of that?
posted 9 weeks ago
  2 randburg
Would the Secret Service allow a new President to walk down Pennsylvania Avenue on Innauguration Day, without getting mobbed? Also, Pennsylvania Avenue is traditionally cordoned off to traffic that day while the public uses bleachers on the side of the street to watch the official parade.

Of course, a "maverick" president could take off at a run, with 50 secret service agents chasing him down Pennsylvania Avenue...hmmm?
posted 9 weeks ago
I think Jimmy Carter was the last president to do it. It would have to be a "populist" type prez that does it.
posted 9 weeks ago
  4 axollot
Considering the BS I've heard and the word assasination being tossed about so easily, I really hope he DOES NOT take a stroll down the Ave.

To many wackos out there - just ask the Kennedy's!
posted 1 day ago
  5 coolkraft
I agree but he is such a gym rat and was outside in the rain I bet he does anyway.
posted 1 day ago

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