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Will there be additional terrorist bombings in India in September?
Settled as No
After considerable delay, and no real clear news that an identifiable terrorist group was linked to the three bombings within the time-frame of the question, I am going to settle this as both Yes (terrorist-type bombings occurred) and then No (none of these bombings have been definitively linked to any group).
Background:
Background: Terrorist attacks occur throughout the world, and in areas not just associated with the United States and European countries.
Saturday September 13th, a coordinated bombing attack took place in New Delhi, the capital of India.
Five bombings within 45 minutes struck busy shopping districts in India's capital, killing at least 23 people and injuring more than 60.
A little known group calling itself the Indian Mujahideen asserted responsibility for the attacks, saying in e-mails sent to several news stations: "Stop us if you can. We strike with message of death. We are terrorizing for your sins."
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/13/AR2008091301215.html?hpid=topnews
Will this group or any other identified group be able to set off another bomb attack that results in at least one death, not including that of a suicide bomber?
If no attacks resulting in deaths of others occur in India that are attributed to a terrorist group by the end of September 30, this will settle as a NO. If any attack happens that causes the death of at least one bystander or other non-participant, it will settle as YES.
Question suspends September 26.
Saturday September 13th, a coordinated bombing attack took place in New Delhi, the capital of India.
Five bombings within 45 minutes struck busy shopping districts in India's capital, killing at least 23 people and injuring more than 60.
A little known group calling itself the Indian Mujahideen asserted responsibility for the attacks, saying in e-mails sent to several news stations: "Stop us if you can. We strike with message of death. We are terrorizing for your sins."
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/13/AR2008091301215.html?hpid=topnews
Will this group or any other identified group be able to set off another bomb attack that results in at least one death, not including that of a suicide bomber?
If no attacks resulting in deaths of others occur in India that are attributed to a terrorist group by the end of September 30, this will settle as a NO. If any attack happens that causes the death of at least one bystander or other non-participant, it will settle as YES.
Question suspends September 26.
Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.
Forecast history %
| Yes |
| |||
| No |
|
Settled as No on Sat 11th Oct 2008 6:10am PST
- Activity: H$57,311 |
- Predictions: 85 |
Comments: 10
Suspend date: Fri 26th Sep 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 11th Oct 2008 6:10am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 26th Sep 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Yes: 30%
Action history:
Suspended Fri 26th Sep 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Suspended Fri 26th Sep 2008 11:59pm PST : Suspend date reached
Settlement requested Sat 27th Sep 2008 4:04am PST by 
curios: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/7639302.stm
curios: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/7639302.stm
Settlement requested Sat 27th Sep 2008 4:53am PST by curios: here is another link
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5g5epflfBietOGcCt8kA-F2cVL8yw open please
curios: here is another link
http://afp.google.com/article/ALeqM5g5epflfBietOGcCt8kA-F2cVL8yw open please
Settlement requested Sat 27th Sep 2008 6:17am PST by 
onedave![[Power User]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_superuser.gif "This user is a super user")
: The Indian Mujahideen has claimed responsibility for this bombing. Is this good enough for a settlement?
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/7639302.stm (market suspended)
onedave: The Indian Mujahideen has claimed responsibility for this bombing. Is this good enough for a settlement?
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/7639302.stm (market suspended)
Settlement requested Sat 27th Sep 2008 11:47pm PST by curios: this is the forth time i have asked
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/27/AR2008092701365.html?hpid=topnews
curios: this is the forth time i have asked
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/27/AR2008092701365.html?hpid=topnews
Settlement requested Sun 28th Sep 2008 4:29am PST by curios: now may more do you needs here is another wakey wakey
curios: now may more do you needs here is another wakey wakey
Settlement requested Sun 28th Sep 2008 4:31am PST by curios: http://news.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=638359
curios: http://news.ninemsn.com.au/article.aspx?id=638359
Settlement requested Mon 6th Oct 2008 4:38am PST by 
rigidrunner
: It's October 6th!
rigidrunner: It's October 6th!
Settlement requested Sat 11th Oct 2008 3:41am PST by 
rbrog77
: I couldn't find anything
rbrog77: I couldn't find anything
Settled as 'Yes' Sat 11th Oct 2008 6:04am PST by 
infernalmachine
: After considerable delay, and no real clear news that an identifiable terrorist group was linked to the three bombings within the time-frame of the question, I am going to settle this as both Yes (terrorist-type bombings occurred) and then No (none of these bombings have been definitively linked to any group).
infernalmachine: After considerable delay, and no real clear news that an identifiable terrorist group was linked to the three bombings within the time-frame of the question, I am going to settle this as both Yes (terrorist-type bombings occurred) and then No (none of these bombings have been definitively linked to any group).
Settled as 'No' Sat 11th Oct 2008 6:10am PST by infernalmachine: After considerable delay, and no real clear news that an identifiable terrorist group was linked to the three bombings within the time-frame of the question, I am going to settle this as both Yes (terrorist-type bombings occurred) and then No (none of these bombings have been definitively linked to any group).
infernalmachine: After considerable delay, and no real clear news that an identifiable terrorist group was linked to the three bombings within the time-frame of the question, I am going to settle this as both Yes (terrorist-type bombings occurred) and then No (none of these bombings have been definitively linked to any group). 
Suspend date: Fri 26th Sep 2008 11:59pm PST
Settlement date: Sat 11th Oct 2008 6:10am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 26th Sep 2008 11:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (85)
violetplanet
predicted No (H$180 at 86%)
xxxjetxxx
predicted Yes (H$2 at 14%)
predicted No (H$20 at 86%)Comments (10)
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http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/13/AR2008091301215.html?hpid=topnews
That part from the background is why this question hasn't settled yet. We are waiting for a group to be identified as the culprit.
No-one has claimed responsibility yet. If any group claims responsibility for any of these bombings or last week's New Delhi bombing, or if any group is named by authorities as being responsible, I will immediately settle as Yes. But, because of the way the question was phrased, we have to wait.
Please be patient. I'm not trying to keep you from your rightful winnings. I'm just endeavouring to settle the question precisely and fairly, based on what the question exactly demands.
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24427799-2703,00.html
http://www.thenational.ae/article/20080930/FOREIGN/56724037/1103/NEWS
http://www.zeenews.com/articles.asp?aid=473986&sid=zns
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