1st Presidential Debate - 9/26 - How many viewers will be reported to have watched the debate?
The first debate between John McCain and Barack Obama, seen by an estimated 52.4 million viewers on Friday, was one of the first events of the presidential campaign that was not a huge TV hit.
http://apnews.excite.com/article/20080930/D93GN0B81.html
Background:
This years first presidential debate takes place on Friday, September 26th at 8PM CDT. It will be moderated by Jim Lehrer, the anchor of The NewsHour. The first debate focuses mainly on Foreign policy and national security. In 2004, 62.5 million people tuned into first the debate. In 2000, 46.6 million people watched the first debate and in 1996 only 36.1 million. With such a polarized electorate there's a very good chance the first debate will be the most widely viewed yet.
2008 Presidential Debate | The University of Mississippi - Official Home Page
Commission on Presidential Debates
The market will be settled using the mainstream media's reports of the Nielson ratings for the debate
Settlement details:As reported by mainstream media reports of Nielson ratings. Percentages are based on past results for debates. In 2004, 62.5 million people tuned into first debate. In 2000, 46.6 million people watched the first debate and in 1996 only 36.1 million.
| Less than 40 million viewers |
| |||
| 40 million - 49.999 million viewers |
| |||
| 50 million - 59.999 million viewers |
| |||
| 60 million to 64.999 million viewers |
| |||
| 65 million to 69.999 million viewers |
| |||
| 70 million or more viewers |
|
- Activity: H$15,391 |
- Predictions: 64 |
Comments: 2
Suspend date: Fri 26th Sep 2008 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 29th Sep 2008 4:37pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 26th Sep 2008 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
Initial likelihoods: Less than 40 million viewers: 10%, 40 million - 49.999 million viewers: 10%, 50 million - 59.999 million viewers: 15%, 60 million to 64.999 million viewers: 30%, 65 million to 69.999 million viewers: 25%, 70 million or more viewers: 10%
Action history:
destry![[Admin]](http://www.hubdub.com/images/icon_admin.gif "This user is an admin"){kind=icon}
: The first debate between John McCain and Barack Obama, seen by an estimated 52.4 million viewers on Friday, was one of the first events of the presidential campaign that was not a huge TV hit.
http://apnews.excite.com/article/20080930/D93GN0B81.html
Suspend date: Fri 26th Sep 2008 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Mon 29th Sep 2008 4:37pm PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Fri 26th Sep 2008 3:59pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details 
Get widget!Predictions (64)
coolkraft
predicted 70 million or more viewers (H$100 at 49%)
hippyboomer
jenniandboys
predicted 50 million - 59.999 million viewers (H$250 at 10%)Comments (2)
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