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Will Val Kilmer run to be New Mexico's next Governor?

Current forecast: Val Kilmer doesn't run for the office (62% chance1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is Val Kilmer doesn't run for the office with a probability of 62% (down 1% in last 1 day)

http://www.people.com/people/article/0,,20225705,00.html


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source. Market refers to the 2010 Election

 
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Val Kilmer runs for the office and wins
25%
Val Kilmer runs for the office and loses
13%
Val Kilmer doesn't run for the office
62%
Activity: H$3,800
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Fri 1st Oct 2010 12:59am PDT (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Val Kilmer runs for the office and wins: 20%, Val Kilmer runs for the office and loses: 20%, Val Kilmer doesn't run for the office : 60%

Action history:

Created Mon 15th Sep 4:53am PDT by ryanj[Admin]

Suspend date: Fri 1st Oct 2010 12:59am PDT (1 year to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (30)

30 predictions

1 week ago
gman77 predicted Val Kilmer runs for the office and wins (H$50 at 25%)
1 week ago
lcsnor predicted Val Kilmer doesn't run for the office (H$45 at 62%)
1 week ago
coolkraft predicted Val Kilmer runs for the office and wins (H$100 at 25%)
4 weeks ago
steveb predicted Val Kilmer doesn't run for the office (H$200 at 62%)
5 weeks ago
bayoubear[Admin] predicted Val Kilmer doesn't run for the office (H$500 at 60%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 randburg
Well...he LOOKS a bit like Arnold, and I guess he could learn the accent...
posted 9 weeks ago
  2 kruijs[Power User]
Hi, I just adding an image to your question.

With this image your question can become one of the featured questions, promoted on the hubdub homepage. I deliberately chose an image which I though would match your question intentions best. If, however, you do not agree with it, please flag the question to the category editor.

Regards
posted 9 weeks ago
  3 tisha[Admin]
haha - if he wins, we will have had both the terminator and batman as governors ... follow up question should be who will be the next superhero in office!
posted 9 weeks ago
My money is on Superman! I can see the campaign commercial now! "Hello its me superman and if elected i promise to freeze wasteful government spending (via freeze ray)! i will melt though the red tape (via heat vision)! And we will fly over the hazards of life with my ability to fly! Im superman and i approve this message!"
posted 9 weeks ago

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