Which of these banks will be the next victim of the credit crisis?

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) Settlement date: Sat 20th Sep 6:14am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 17th Sep 8:45am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Morgan Stanley: 14%, Goldman Sachs: 14%, UBS: 16%, Citibank: 14%, HBOS: 14%, BNP Pariabs: 14%, Washington Mutual: 14%

Action history:

Created Mon 15th Sep 6:17am PDT by reuters

Suspended Wed 17th Sep 10:08pm PDT by kruijs: Flagged by super user: Waiting for announcement...

"I can reveal that both boards have now agreed the takeover, which will be announced tomorrow morning. The price will be 232p per HBOS share in Lloyds shares."

http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/thereporters/robertpeston/2008/09/the_creation_of_lloyds_hbos.html

Settlement requested Wed 17th Sep 10:56pm PDT by keyeshoveden: It's HBOS>

Settled as 'HBOS' Sat 20th Sep 6:14am PDT by bayoubear: Settled as HBOS, effective as of 4:46 PM BST, as this link reported the deal at that time.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/blogs/thereporters/robertpeston/2008/09/the_creation_of_lloyds_hbos.html

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 3:59pm PST (5 weeks to go) Settlement date: Sat 20th Sep 6:14am PDTPrediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Wed 17th Sep 8:45am PDT have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled
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