Created Mon 15th Sep 7:28am PDT by 
isonomia
All questions » Science » Environment » isonomia 
What will be the average global temperature for November 2008
Current forecast: +0.30C to +0.399C (+0.54F to +0.72F) (34% chance
1%)
1%)
Combining all predictions, the current most likely outcome is +0.30C to +0.399C (+0.54F to +0.72F) with a probability of 34% (down 1% in last 1 day)
The UK Met Office produce a monthly figure for the global average temperature each month relative to the average for the period 1960-91 (see: http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcrut3/diagnostics/global/nh%2Bsh/monthly) Figures recently have been anywhere in the range -0.2C to +0.8C.
Settlement details:
The data will be the first published results on http://hadobs.metoffice.com/hadcrut3/diagnostics/global/nh%2Bsh/monthly rounded down to the nearest 0.01C
Make your prediction!
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+0.50C or more (more than +0.9F) |
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+0.40C to +0.499C (+0.72F to +0.90F) |
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+0.30C to +0.399C (+0.54F to +0.72F) |
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+0.20C to +0.299C (+0.36F to +0.54F) |
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+0.10C to +0.199C (+0.18F to +0.36F) |
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less than +0.10C (less than +0.18F) |
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Activity: H$36,181
Question suspends in 1 week
Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 3:59pm PST (1 week to go)
Initial likelihoods: +0.50C or more (more than +0.9F): 14%, +0.40C to +0.499C (+0.72F to +0.90F): 22%, +0.30C to +0.399C (+0.54F to +0.72F): 17%, +0.20C to +0.299C (+0.36F to +0.54F): 23%, +0.10C to +0.199C (+0.18F to +0.36F): 15%, less than +0.10C (less than +0.18F): 9%
Action history:
Created Mon 15th Sep 7:28am PDT by isonomia
isonomia
Suspend date: Sun 30th Nov 3:59pm PST (1 week to go)
more info...
Get widget!Predictions (49)
49 predictions
shojun
rogerkni
bobdevine
checksum
bigken1
steve2007
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