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will nokia release a touchscreen based product in 09?

Current forecast: 55% chance
Combining all predictions, the current forecast is that this is 55% likely to happen (unchanged in last 1 day)

this must be a device that relies on a touchscreen for input, not simply has one.
for simplicity's sake, this will settle as yes if nokia releases a touchscreen with no keypad, and no for a touchscreen with a numeric or qwerty keypad, or no touchscreen


Settlement details: As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
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Yes
55%
No
45%
Activity: H$4,936
Question suspends in 1 year

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 50%

Action history:

Created Mon 15th Sep 2pm PDT by gadget666

Suspend date: Thu 31st Dec 2009 11:59pm PST (1 year to go)
more info...

 

Predictions (29)

29 predictions

4 days ago
jamer predicted Yes (H$100 at 55%)
1 week ago
archit predicted Yes (H$50 at 55%)
4 weeks ago
astrosfan960 predicted Yes (H$100 at 57%)
4 weeks ago
charugan predicted Yes (H$76 at 57%)
4 weeks ago
chassoho predicted Yes (H$50 at 57%)
more

Comments (4)

  1 nicfulton
http://uk.reuters.com/article/technologyNews/idUKTRE48P2JR20080926 - Now here's a question. If they introduce it in 2008, then does this equate to a yes or no? Presumably a touch-screen in '08 is a touchscreen in '09...
posted 8 weeks ago
  2 tomg[Admin]
@nicfulton - if a touchscreen product is released in 2008, it won't affect this question (it cannot settle as 'yes' because although it will still be available, it would not have been 'released' in 2009; it cannot settle as 'no' because just because one touchscreen product is released in 08 does not mean it cannot be released in 09)
posted 7 weeks ago
  3 gadget666
it could settle as a yes if it is released late 08 some places, and early 09 elsewhere....
posted 5 weeks ago
  4 chris[Admin]
It's fairly irrelevant since the product in question isn't a pure touch-screen - it's a hybrid product with a slide-out keypad
posted 4 weeks ago

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