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Will the Archon X Prize be claimed before the end of 2009?

Settled as No

Still waiting for it to happen...

Background:

Background: The Archon X PRIZE for Genomics, the second X PRIZE to be offered by the X PRIZE Foundation, based in Santa Monica, California, was announced on October 4, 2006. The Archon X PRIZE in genomics is a joint effort of the X PRIZE Foundation and the J. Craig Venter Science Foundation.

The $10 million prize (US), donated by diamond prospector Stewart Blusson, is to be awarded to "the first Team that can build a device and use it to sequence 100 human genomes within 10 days or less, with an accuracy of no more than one error in every 100,000 bases sequenced, with sequences accurately covering at least 98% of the genome, and at a recurring cost of no more than $10,000 (US) per genome."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Archon_X_Prize

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
Yes
5%
No
95%
Settled as No on Fri 1st Jan 11:16am PST

Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 1pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 11:16am PST

Initial likelihoods: Yes: 10%

Action history:

Created Mon 15th Sep 2008 1:16pm PST by kakacocuk
Changed Question text Thu 9th Oct 2008 2:47pm PST by tisha[Admin]: ... Will the Archon X Prize be claimed before the end of
Changed Question text Thu 9th Oct 2008 5:09pm PST by tisha[Admin]: ... before the end of 2009 ? ?
Settlement requested Fri 1st Jan 9:12am PST by mungo10: no, it's 2010
Settled as 'No' Fri 1st Jan 11:16am PST by sqlman[Admin]: Still waiting for it to happen...

Suspend date: Fri 1st Jan 1pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 1st Jan 11:16am PST details

 

Predictions (29)

11 weeks ago
peterwindlehill predicted No (H$2,000 at 94%)
15 weeks ago
joffi predicted No (H$100 at 90%)
28 weeks ago
donnamil predicted No (H$5,000 at 83%)
1 year ago
zenjabba predicted Yes (H$50 at 19%)
1 year ago
nuaetius predicted Yes (H$50 at 19%)

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