Net worth: H$1,000
Guest:Cash: hd$1,000   Predictions: hd$0
You currently have hd$1,000 (Hubdub dollars), Hubdub's virtual currency, to stake on your predictions. Your predictions are currently worth hd$0
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How many Hubdubbers will have enough "money" to advertise during Super Bowl XLIV?

Background: The Super Bowl is normally the most-watched sporting event on American television. 97.4 million viewers watched this year's championship game. To many viewers, the commercials are more important than the game. Consequently, NBC is asking advertisers to pay $3 million for 30 seconds of commercial time for Super Bowl XLIII. This fee is up from $2.7 million for XLII.

This market will settle when the TV network first announces the advertising rate for the 2010 game (XLIV). It will be based on Hubdubbers' net worths at that time. A 1:1 conversion from H$ to US$ will be assumed.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121004269277469845.html?mod=googlenews_wsj
http://www.sportsbusinessjournal.com/article/60064

A collection of this year's commercials is embedded below.

Settlement details:As reported by a major mainstream news source.

 
Forecast history %
zero or one
0%
two
0%
three
1%
four or five
54%
six or seven
31%
eight, nine, ten
12%
eleven or more
2%
Question suspends in 6 weeks

Suspend date: Fri 8th Jan 2010 9am PST (6 weeks to go)

Initial likelihoods: zero or one: 20%, two: 30%, three: 20%, four or five: 10%, six or seven: 8%, eight, nine, ten: 7%, eleven or more: 5%

Action history:

Suspend date: Fri 8th Jan 2010 9am PST (6 weeks to go) details

 

Predictions (166)

10 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted four or five (H$800 at 60%)
10 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted eight, nine, ten (H$100 at 3%)
19 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted eight, nine, ten (H$200 at 22%)
19 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted six or seven (H$600 at 25%)
19 weeks ago
tuff_sledding[Power User] predicted eight, nine, ten (H$500 at 18%)

Comments (1)

  1 kruijs[Power User]
Hi, I just added an image to your question.

With this image your question can become one of the featured questions, promoted on the hubdub homepage. I deliberately chose an image which I though would match your question intentions best. If, however, you do not agree with it, please flag the question to the category editor.

Regards
posted 1 year ago

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