Which of these banks will be the next victim of the credit crisis?

Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 26th Sep 2008 7:38am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 25th Sep 2008 7:25pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled

Initial likelihoods: Morgan Stanley: 25%, Goldman Sachs: 14%, UBS: 14%, Citibank: 14%, BNP Pariabs: 13%, Washington Mutual: 20%

Action history:

Created Thu 18th Sep 2008 11:31am PST by reuters

Settlement requested Fri 26th Sep 2008 2:47am PST by tomtom: See reuters:
http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE48P05I20080926

Sold to JPMorgan for 1.9bn.

Suspended Fri 26th Sep 2008 2:59am PST by jenniandboys: Suspended pending settlement

Settlement requested Fri 26th Sep 2008 2:59am PST by jenniandboys: wamu gone (good lord)
http://www.marketwatch.com/news/story/fhlbank-san-francisco-informed-advances/story.aspx?guid={97098D6E-9D6B-4E88-BE45-555EA790A42F}&dist=hppr (market suspended)

Settled as 'Washington Mutual' Fri 26th Sep 2008 7:38am PST by bayoubear: Washington Mutual fell last being taken over then having large parts sold....Earliest news reports were posted at 11:24 PM EDT so that will be the suspension time and wagers made after that time will be cancelled.

Headline from Reuters web article:
WaMu is largest U.S. bank failure
Thu Sep 25, 2008 11:24pm EDT

http://www.reuters.com/article/newsOne/idUSTRE48P05I20080926

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Suspend date: Wed 31st Dec 2008 3:59pm PST
Settlement date: Fri 26th Sep 2008 7:38am PST
Prediction cut-off: Predictions on this question after Thu 25th Sep 2008 7:25pm PST have been voided because they were made after the question could be settled details